The project has the overall purpose of enhancing capacity for forecasting mass atrocities and genocide globally and in the Asia-Pacific region. The specific aims are to:
The aim is to provide tools for analysts and policy makers. The project builds on the current academic literature, and employs econometric and machine-learning based forecasting techniques, which can greatly enhance analytical capacity in combination with standard qualitative and quantitative social science methods. The forecasts are intended to be used in combination with other quantitative and qualitative analysis and expert knowledge.
Benjamin Goldsmith was awarded a 2014 Faculty Research Support Scheme Grant from the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, University of Sydney.
Charles Butcher was awarded a 2014 University of Otago Research Grant in order to develop a new definition of genocide and politicide that retains the strongest aspects of existing research, while improving upon its most significant weaknesses.
© 2002-15 The University of Sydney. Last updated: 16 February 2015
ABN: 15 211 513 464. CRICOS number: 00026A. Phone: +61 2 9351 2222.
Authorised by: Dr Ben Goldsmith.