The project has the overall purpose of enhancing capacity for forecasting mass atrocities and genocide globally and in the Asia-Pacific region. The specific aims are to:
The aim is to provide tools for analysts and policy makers. The project builds on the current academic literature, and employs econometric and machine-learning based forecasting techniques, which can greatly enhance analytical capacity in combination with standard qualitative and quantitative social science methods. The forecasts are intended to be used in combination with other quantitative and qualitative analysis and expert knowledge.
The image above is from the painting Never Forget by Wang Xu, part of his series titled The Silenced: from 1957 to Today
The Atrocity Forecasting Project has received a major grant from the Australian Research Council to continue our work. The award under the Discovery Grant program covers the period 2016-2018. Ben Goldsmith and Arcot Sowmya are the Chief Investigators, and Charles Butcher is the Partner Investigator.
© 2002-16 The University of Sydney. Last updated: 14 December 2015
ABN: 15 211 513 464. CRICOS number: 00026A. Phone: +61 2 9351 2222.
Authorised by: Dr Ben Goldsmith.