Publications

Our reports designed for policy analysts can be accessed here.



Our academic papers can be accessed here:

  • Charles Butcher and Benjamin E. Goldsmith. "Elections, Ethnicity, and Political Instability", Comparative Political Studies, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN here.
  • Charles Butcher, 2015, ''Capital Punishment': Bargaining and the geography of civil war', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 52 no. 2 171-186. Available here.
  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith, Charles Butcher, Dimitri Semenovich and Arcot Sowmya, 2013, 'Forecasting the onset of genocide and politicide: Annual out-of-sample forecasts on a global dataset, 1988–2003', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 50 no. 4 437-452. Available here. Replication Materials (Zip file).
  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith, Charles Butcher, Dimitri Semenovich and Arcot Sowmya, 2012, 'A Two Stage Approach to Predicting Genocide and Politicide Onset in a Global Dataset', Available at SSRN.
  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith, Charles Butcher, Dimitri Semenovich and Arcot Sowmya, 2012, 'Elections and Political Instability: Ballots to Bullets, Voting to Violence?' Available at SSRN here.
  • Dimitri Semenovich, Arcot Sowmya, Benjamin E. Goldsmith (2012). Predicting onsets of genocide with sparse additive models. 21st International Conference on Pattern Recognition, ICPR 2012, Piscataway, New Jersey: (IEEE) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers. Available here. (2012 ICPR)
  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith, Dimitri Semenovich and Arcot Sowmya, 2013, 'Political Instability and Genocide: Comparing Causes in Asia and the Pacific and Globally'. In Deborah Mayersen, Annie Pohlman (Eds.), Genocide and Mass Atrocities in Asia: Legacies and prevention, (pp. 136-157). Abingdon, UK: Routledge. Available here. Also available at SSRN here.