Dr Jean Jonathan Bogais

Adjunct Associate Professor

A22 - Old Teachers' College
The University of Sydney

Telephone 9114 0906
Website Personal website
@JonathanBogais

Biographical details

Professor Bogais is a sociologist (political sociology and intercultural psychology), a specialist in foreign affairs and a strategic adviser with over three decades of academic and practical experience working in complex environments. His expertise is in violence, conflict and compromise - and ethics and protocols in humanitarian interventions. His area of expertise is Southeast Asia and the west Pacific, with a special focus on Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, the Philippines and the South China Sea. He has served as a senior analyst, strategic adviser, mediator, negotiator, and foreign correspondent and has had ongoing involvement in international missions and peacebuilding initiatives. He continues to be involved in these areas. Professor Bogais advises agencies, government officials, diplomats, negotiators and strategists in conflict risk assessment, analysis, strategy, mediation, ethics and protocols in humanitarian intervention and program development/evaluation in complex environments. He acts as a mediator and negotiator in early crisis development and conflict resolution negotiations, introducing complex systems into analysis and strategy. He has considerable experience in crisis involving mixed ethnicities and religions.

Professor Bogais is attached to the Department of Sociology and Social Policy, School of Social and Political Sciences at the University of Sydney. He mentors postdoctoral researchers and is a research supervisor (PhDs/Masters). He teaches in various masters degrees and delivers short intensive courses in areas of security and development, violence, terrorism, peacebuilding, conflict, negotiation in Australia and Europe. He is an associate with the Center for International Security Studies.

He was awarded a master in intercultural psychology in 1978, and a PhD in sociology in 1984, both from Paris-Sorbonne.

Research interests

Professor Bogais’ research lies at the intersection of ‘violence, conflict and compromise,’ with a focus on current knowledge translation processes in complex environments. It is concerned with the need to discover, experiment and evaluate new methodologies and protocols to facilitate the process needed to analyse and translate knowledge available from research and on-the-ground evidence to make better use of, or create, new information management systems for decision and policy. It analyses the political, social, cultural and economic conditions in which drivers of change were allowed to enter seemingly non-violent spaces unchallenged - and the processes acting as catalysts for conflicts to develop, re-emerge or worsen. His research challenges the assumption that: “We think we know about violence..” by trying to understand why evidence on the ground often shows that we do not.

Associations

Professor Bogais’ current appointments include:

  • Senior Research Fellow: German-Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Good Governance and Policy (CPG).

    CPG is a common institute of Thammasat University Bangkok and Goethe-University Frankfurt am Main, Westfälische Wilhelms University-Münster, and Passau University in Germany. It is funded by the German Federal Foreign Office and supported by the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD). The CPG is located within the Faculty of Law at Thammasat University, Bangkok.
  • Senior Associate and Expert Adviser (non-resident): Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S. Attached to the Southeast Asia Program
  • Expert (Non-resident): Middle East Institute - Middle East/Asia Project, Washington DC, U.S.

Past appointments

  • Visiting Fellow: Institut de Hautes Études Internationales et du Dévelopment - Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva
  • Visiting Fellow: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB) - WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Berlin

ETHICS

Current member of the University of Sydney’s Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC).

RECENT PRESENTATIONS (2014/17)

Invited presentation: Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea

"Introducing violence in non-violent spaces to impose hegemony: A South China Sea crisis viewed through complex systems analysis". Organised by the Department of cultural anthropology - September 2016

Report presentation and roundtable: UNITAR, Geneva

"Introducing evaluation of three case studies on knowledge translation methodologies" September 2016

Invited presentation: German-Southeast Asian Centre of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG), Faculty of Law, Thammasat University, Bangkok - September 2016

Special lecture 1. "The introduction of Violence in Non-Violent Spaces for the Making of a Dominant Identity: Analysing Perceptions of Conflict in the Asia Pacific Region" (Focus on the South China Sea crisis.)

Special lecture 2. Political Transformation in Southeast Asia - Recent Developments, Current Issues and Future Prospects: "Myanmar's Difficult Road to Democracy: An examination Through Complex Systems Analysis"

Invited Presentation: Politics in Action: Democratic Updates from Southeast Asia

In this international roundtable event organised by the Sydney Southeast Asia Centre, Dr Bogais talks about the state of politics in Cambodia ahead of the 2017/18 elections. He explains why Cambodia has reached a critical juncture and discusses the possible outcomes. – July 2016

Roundtable discussion/analysis (panel member) UNITAR, Geneva

"Creating conflict? Review of the South China Sea crisis" March 2016

Invited presentation: UN Security Council's Peacekeeping Operations and Political Missions meeting

"Peacebuilding strategies in non-violent spaces" March 2016

Invited discussion/review: WZB Berlin Social Science Centre, Berlin, Germany
"Review of autocratic regimes: The Philippines under Ferdinand Marcos" - May 2015

Invited moderator & panel member: Q2 International Symposium on International Security
Invited expert to moderate session: 'Diplomacy: Spacio-temporal, Multilateral and Adaptative', and join on the panel for the closing roundtable.
Organised by the Centre for International Security Studies, University of Sydney - March 2015

Invited presentation: World Universities Network - International Indigenous Research Network roundtable
“Putting out the fire - A perspective on intercultural relations” - February 2015


Invited presentation: WZB Berlin Social Science Centre, Berlin, Germany
"Socio-economic disruptions and inequality behind ethnocultural conflicts in Southeast Asia" - September 2014


TV broadcast: '2014 Festival of Democracy' organised by the Sydney Democracy Network at the University of Sydney
"Cambodia: Rampant Corruption - State Endorsed" - October 2014

RECENT PUBLICATIONS, BROADCAST AND INTERVIEWS INCLUDE

N.B. In over three decades as a senior analyst, strategic adviser, foreign correspondent and academic, Professor Bogais has produced a considerable number of analysis, background reports, articles and broadcast material covering social, political, cultural and environmental issues – international with an emphasis on Southeast Asia and West Pacific. He has reviewed many policy documents and contributed in the drafting of strategic material for negotiations at international levels. (Bilingual: English and French.) More information on request.

SBS TV Word News Australia – China’s first aircraft carrier and support ships enters the South China Sea

Commentaries– December 2016

Article: Asian Currents - Asian Studies Association of Australia

"Duterte plays a long game to secure Philippine advantage"

Behind the crude populism, Dr Bogais argue that President Duterte has an intuitive grasp of what is best for the Philippines. This analysis explores the Duterte phenomenon beyond the headlines. A different perspective based on on-the-ground knowledge and experience departing from the abundance of bias and paucity of fact that has marked the intellectual and political debate on this issue in recent times- November 2016

Reproduction: RSIS (Consortium of Non-Traditional Security Studies in Asia, S.Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.)

Jonathan's essay for the Middle East Institute, Middle East Asia Project (Washington DC), has been selected and recommended by the prestigious Consortium of Non-Traditional Security Studies in Asia, S.Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. The essay: "Violence and Contradictory coexistence of Peace and Conflict in the Asia Pacific Region" explores the making of a dominant identity to impose hegemony - November 2016

Religiously-motivated violence in Australia

Dr Bogais talks to Channel 10 Eyewitness News (National) and warns that divisions around religious issues are likely to bring more violence and increase the risk of terrorism. Analysing recent events overseas, especially in France, he stresses that polarisation will be detrimental to security. Political leaders and commentators must refrain from exacerbating tensions - November 2016

Interview: CNBC Online World News

"Dr Bogais comments on the consequences of the murder of Cambodian political commentator Kem Kay's on Cambodian politics” November 2016

Live interview/analysis: Channel News Asia, Singapore - "News"

“Former United Nations' General Secretary Kofi Anann to chair the newly formed Advisory Commission on the Rakhine State", an initiative by the Myanmar Government to address the Rohingya issue." - October 2016

Article: Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S.

“Tumultuous Road Ahead For Turnbull in Australia" - 14 July 2016

Live interview/analysis: Blumberg TV (Global)

"China's sea claim dashed in court. What happens next? Dr Bogais analyses the future of the relationship between the Philippines and China, following the recent election of Rodrigo Duterte and his desire to resolve the crisis peacefully with Bejing. What impact will the ruling have for the region at a time of increasing tension?” – July 2016

Analysis: Filippino Radio (SBS)

"Tribunal's decision over the nine-dash line in the South China Sea". Dr Bogais analyses what's next for the Philippines and China after the Arbitration ruling. - July 2016

Article: The Huffington Post

"Australia Warns China to 'Heed Hague Ruling' on South China Sea" - July 2016

Live interview/analysis: Chanel News Asia, Singapore, News

“How has the Myanmar government fared in its first 100 days in office?" - 7 July 2016.

Essay: Middle East Institute – Middle East – Asia Project, Washington DC, U.S.

"Violence and the contradictory coexistence of peace and conflict in the Asia Pacific region" - June 2016

Live interview/analysis: Channel News Asia, Singapore - "News"

“Elections in the Philippines. Who is Rodrigo Duterte? Why was his election win such a surprise for the international community? How will he address the challenging domestic issues facing his government and what will his position in the South China Sea crisis differ from that of his predecessor? " - June 2016

Latest article: Asian Currents - Asian Studies Association of Australia

"Pitfalls ahead as Myanmar advances along democratic road" - May 2016

Essay: Myanmar: The Transition from Social Order to Social Contract …

In this essay for the Middle East Institute (Middle East/Asia Project) based in Washington DC, Dr Bogais writes that the new leadership’s intent to enter into a social contract with its citizens requires an analysis of the mechanisms of social control, which is the evolution of the means of power rather than its nature. By closely observing the normalisation process lying ahead, the essay explores the complexity of the process to civilianize Myanmar.- May 2016

Article: Myanmar: Democratisation and the Internal Contradictions of Ethnicity and Religion …

Article by Dr Bogais for the German - Southeast Asian Centre for Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG), a common institute of Thammasat University Bangkok and Goethe-University Frankfurt am Main, Westfälische Wilhelms-University Mūnster, and Passau University in Germany. CPG - located at Thammasat University Bangkok - is funded by the German Federal Foreign Affair Office and supported by the German Academic Exchange (DAAD) - May 2016

Article/Analysis: Asian Currents - Asian Studies Association of Australia

“Cambodia on the Brink"- December 2015

LIVE: Channel News Asia

"Cambodia on the Brink of Political Crisis"

In this live discussion, Dr Bogais debates with Cambodia's Council of Ministers spokesperson, Mr Phay Siphon, the current political situation in Cambodia. Is Cambodia at crisis point ahead of the 2017/18 elections?- November 2015

Article/Analysis: Asian Currents - Asian Studies Association of Australia

“Myanmar's toughest challenge lies ahead"- November 2015

Interview: AlJazeera (Asia/Pacific)

“Amnesty International: Australian officials paid people smugglers"- Commentary - October 2015

Article: Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S.

“Indonesia under Jokowi: Nationalism and Pluralism shapes Policy Calculus "- October 2015

Article: Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S.

“Myanmar beyond the Elections: Strategy needed to address Sectarian Violence "- October 2015

Interview ‘ABC News 24 – Afternoon Live”

"The future of Australia defence alliances with the United States and Japan under the new government"– Analysis - September 2015.

Commentary/Interview: ‘Sky News' –

"Japan: An analysis of the new defence paradigms for the future of Japan's alliance with the United States and Australia– Analysis - September 2015.

Article: Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S.

“Malcolm Turnbull will bring new leadership culture, new policies to Australia" - September 2015

Commentary/Interview: ‘Sky News' –

"Japan's 2015 White Paper on defence. An analysis of the domestic and international ramifications of this significant strategic document”– Analysis - July 2015.

Interview /discussion (broadcast): France Info - en direct du monde

(translated) “A view of the world: can radicalisation develop inside refugee camps across southeast Asia?" - June 2015.

Interview (print): Straits Times, Singapore

“Abbott to ink strategic agreement with Singapore" Straits Times' Jonathan Pearlman asked Jonathan Bogais to comment on Prime Minister Abbott visit to Singapore- June 2015.

Interview (print): Deutsche Welle, Germany

“Bribery allegations cast a shadow on Australia’s relationship with Indonesia”

Deutsche Welle’s Jack Fisher asked Dr Jonathan Bogais to comment on the impact of the allegation that Australian officials bribed people-smugglers on the relationship between Indonesia and Australia- June 2015.

Interview (print): Nikkei Asian Review, Japan

“Australia refugees controversy” Nikkei Asian Review asked Dr Jonathan Bogais to comment on how the allegation that Australian officials bribed people-smugglers might damage Australia’s reputation in the region. Interview with Nikkei Asian Review- June 2015.

Interview (live news broadcast): CBNC Asia & U.S.

"Why Aung San Suu Kyi's visit to China matters" Jonathan Bogais, adjunct associate professor at University of Sydney, discusses the significance of Myanmar opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi's meeting with Chinese leaders. Interview with CNBC - June 2015 9:47 AM ET. Source: CNBC.com.

Interview (news broadcast): CHINESE TV Phoenix Satellite Television

"Historical visit of Aung San Suu Kyi to China" Chinese TV asked Adjunct Associate Professor Jonathan Bogais to comment on Aung San Suu Kyi first visit to China.

Interview with Chinese TV - Thursday, 11 June 2015 8:00 PM ET. Source: Chinese TV.

Invited discussion/review: WZB Berlin Social Science Centre, Berlin, Germany

"Review of autocratic regimes: The Philippines under Ferdinand Marcos" - May 2015

Article: Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington DC, U.S.

“Beyond the Critical Juncture: Myanmar’s 2015 Elections in Focus"- April 2015

Book review: ‘Asian Currents’ – Journal of the Asian Studies Association of Australasia’

[“|Portrait of a pragmatist”] Review of Hun Sen’s Cambodia, by Sebastian Strangio. Yale University Press, 2014. 322pp. - February 2015

Article: ‘Asian Currents’ – Journal of the Asian Studies Association of Australasia

“Religious apartheid in Myanmar”- December 2014.

TV broadcast: '2014 Festival of Democracy' organised by the Sydney Democracy Network at the University of Sydney

"Cambodia: Rampant Corruption - State Endorsed"- 10 October 2014.

Essay: “Middle East Institute – Middle East – Asia Project’, Washington DC, U.S.

“Democracy without social cohesion cannot exist – The Myanmar challenge”– Essay – June 2014.

Commentary/Interview: ‘Sky News' –

"The Philippines - United States relationship: What does it means for the Asia/Pacific region?”– Analysis - June 2014.

Article: ‘Asian Currents’ – Journal of the Asian Studies Association of Australasia

"Greed the unseen peril on Myanmar's road to Democracy” – Analysis - June 2014.

Article: ‘Asian Currents' – Journal of the Asian Studies Association of Australasia

“Cambodians continue to struggle in an inequitable society” – Analysis - April 2014.

Article: ‘The Conversation’

“Asia-Pacific focus will revitalise US hegemony, but at what price?” - (Analysis) - April 2014.

Interview (live news broadcast) ‘ABC News 24 – Afternoon Live”

“ABC's Kim Landers asks Jonathan Bogais to comment live on the discussion between Australia's Foreign Minister Julie Bishop and her Cambodian counterpart about sending asylum-seekers to Cambodia- February 2014.

Article: 'The Conversation’

“Engaging in Myanmar: Whose interest are we serving?” - Analysis - January 2014.

Article: 'The Conversation’

“US Military-led Humanitarian Intervention in the Philippines: A Message to China.” (Analysis. ‘Best read’ analysis for one week.)- Reproduced by SBS World News Australia online - November 2013.

Article: 'The Conversation’

“Want a better world? You can’t look at GMOs in isolation.”Analysis - October 2013.

Interview: SBS World News Australia

Topic: “Sweden has become the first European Union country to announce it will give asylum to all Syrian refugees who apply”- September 2013

Interview (background report): SBS World News Australia

Topic: “Myanmar/Burma: This financial year Australia will give $82.8 million to Myanmar in aid. But is the money really helping lift people out of poverty?”- August 2013


Social documentaries (Special personal research projects)

ITV production for National Geographic – 2006 – “Sahul – First across the ocean” – Position: consulting producer & co-director

Co-production – 2008 – “Solo, The Andrew McAuley Story” – Winner of the 2009 AFI (Australian Film Institute) Award for best documentary under 1-hour. Position: Consulting producer


Books

La Coutume- Règles non-écrites qui régissent l’équilibre social des Kanaks. Éditions Gallimart – 1998

Chicka’s Story– The story of the late Aboriginal activist and leader, Charles “Chicka” Dixon Story. To be released late-2017

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