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Marcus O'Connor

Marcus O'Connor

BCom (Hons) MCom (Hons) PhD UNSW
Professor

Rm 213
H10 - Storie Dixson Wing
The University of Sydney
NSW 2006 Australia

Telephone +61 2 9351 6452
marcus.oconnor@sydney.edu.au


Bio

Professor O'Connor started at the University of Sydney in 2002. He has a distinguished record of intellectual and administrative leadership. His scholarly expertise covers forecasting, decision making and computer based decision support systems. His research program has made outstanding and innovative contributions to the DSS literature. His research interest are: judgemental forecasting, using IT in decision making and judgement, information sharing. His work is widely published in top international journals and has been supported extensively by competitive ARC Grants. He is the Associate Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting.

Publications

2011

4
Journal Article/s

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2011 'The effect of qualitative and quantitative system dynamics training: An experimental investigation', System Dynamics Review, vol.27:3, pp. 313-27

2010

11
Seminar Paper/s

Oliver G and O'Connor M 2010 'Introduction for honours students to experiments and quasi-experiments using SPSS: Notes from a PhD diary, Honours Presentation - Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Sydney, Australia 2010

2008

4
Journal Article/s

Remus W, Lim K and O'Connor M 2008 'The effect of presentation media and animation on learning a complex decision', International Journal of Instructional Media, vol.35:5, pp. 283-93

2007

4
Journal Article/s

Parackal M, Goodwin P and O'Connor M 2007 'Judgement in forecasting', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.23:3, pp. 343-5

5
Conference Paper/s

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Crone SF 2007 'An investigation of neural networks in seasonal time series forecasting', 27th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, New York, United States, 27th June 2007

6
Conference Proceeding/s

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2007 'What Our Mental Models Retain and What They Don’t: An Experimental Follow-up of System Dynamics Intervention', 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Boston, United States, 2nd August 2007

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2007 'Qualitative, Quantitative or both: An Experimental Investigation', 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Boston, United States, 2nd August 2007

Lim J, O'Connor M and Peat M 2007 'The impact of uncertainty information in judgemental forecasting and decision making', 27th International Symposium on Forecasting, New York, United States, 27th June 2007

2006

4
Journal Article/s

Lawrence M, Goodwin P, O'Connor M and Onkal D 2006 'Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.22:3, pp. 493-518

6
Conference Proceeding/s

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2006 'Contribution of System Tools to Dynamic Decision-Making', 12th Australia New Zealand Systems Society Conference, Katoomba NSW, Australia, 6th December 2006

Gniewosz G and O'Connor M 2006 'Cultural influence on the perceived importance of the nature of rewards: A study of managers in Australia and South East Asia', Australia and New Zealand International Business Academy (ANZIBA) conference, Wellington, New Zealand, 18th November 2006

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2006 'Mental models and dynamic decision making: An experimental approach for testing system methodologies', 24th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Nijmegen, Netherlands, 27th July 2006

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2006 'Modeling seasonality in neural forecasting: An unconventional approach', Forecasting Challenges in a Changing World Environment - Proceedings of the 26th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF), Santander, Spain, 14th June 2006

O'Connor M 2006 'What’s important in life and what’s important in research in forecasting: Epistemological perspectives and research in sales forecasting', Proceedings of the 26th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF), Santander, Spain, 14th June 2006

2005

4
Journal Article/s

Webby R, O'Connor M and Edmundson B 2005 'Forecasting support systems for incorporation of soft information: An empirical investigation', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.21:3, pp. 411-23 Link

Lawrence M and O'Connor M 2005 'Judgemental forecasting in the presence of loss functions', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.21:1, pp. 3-14 Link

Lim K, O'Connor M and Remus W 2005 'The impact of presentation media on decision making: Does multimedia improve the effectiveness of feedback?', Information and Management, vol.42:2, pp. 305-16 Link

O'Connor M, Remus W and Lim K 2005 'Improving judgmental forecasts with judgmental bootstrapping and task feedback support', Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, vol.18, pp. 247-60

5
Conference Paper/s

Nelson L and O'Connor M 2005 'Ongoing investigation into the utility of UI in forecasting and decision making', Proceedings of the 24th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF), Sydney, Australia, 7th July 2005

Lim J and O'Connor M 2005 'Usefulness of stochastic decision aids in judgemental forecasting and decision making', 25th International Symposium on Forecasting, San Antonio, United States, 15th June 2005

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2005 'Time series forecasting competition: A multi-network approach', 25th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2005), San Antonio, United States, 15th June 2005

O'Connor M 2005 'Supporting the incorporation of event information through a FSS', 25th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2005), San Antonio, United States, 15th June 2005

O'Connor M 2005 'The utility of combining FSS and statistical forecasts', 25th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2005), San Antonio, United States, 15th June 2005

6
Conference Proceeding/s

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2005 'Neural network efficacy in seasonal time series forecasting', 2nd Indian International Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IICAI-05), Pune, India, 22nd December 2005

Lim J and O'Connor M 2005 'The utility of simulation tools in decisions about new product launches', 36th Annual Meeting of the Decision Sciences Institute, San Francisco, United States, 22nd November 2005

Dhawan R, O'Connor M and Borman M 2005 ''System dynamics and decision making', Sustainable Development of Asia Pacific - Multi Conference on the Applications of System Dynamics and the Disciplines of Management, Shanghai, China, 6th November 2005

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2005 'Time Series Forecasting: An Approach to Modeling Seasonality Using Neural Networks', 2005 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, ICAI 2005, Las Vegas, United States, 30th June 2005

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2005 'Time series forecasting competition: A multi-network approach', 25th International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF 2005), San Antonio, United States, 15th June 2005

2004

5
Conference Paper/s

O'Connor M and Lim J 2004 'Judgemental time series forecasts: The impact of the mood of the forecaster', Proceedings of the 24th International Symposium on Forecasting, Sydney, Australia, 7th July 2004

O'Connor M 2004 'The impact of mood on the accuracy of judgemental time series forecasts', 9th Behavioral Decision Research in Management Conference, Durham, North Carolina, United States, 18th April 2004

6
Conference Proceeding/s

Dhawan R and O'Connor M 2004 'Time series prediction and intelligent systems: The case of neural networks', Proceedings of the International Conference on Cognitive Science '04, University of Allahabad, India, 18th December 2004

2003

4
Journal Article/s

O'Connor M, Foong S and Lawrence M 2003 'The interaction of incentives and information disclosure: The case of confidence interval information', The British Accounting Review, vol.35:3, pp. 233-55

5
Conference Paper/s

O'Connor M, Foong and Dick 2003 'Which is the best communications media to use: The case of SMS', Judgment and Decision Making Society Meeting, Vancouver, Canada, 11th November 2003

O'Connor M 2003 'Do people understand the quality of their own judgements?', 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting, Merida, Mexico, 18th June 2003

O'Connor M, Lawrence and Nelso 2003 'The contingent utility of confidence intervals and other forms of uncertainty information in forecasting and decision making', 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting, Merida, Mexico, 18th June 2003

O'Connor M, O'Connor J and Baur L 2003 'Forecasting length of stay in hospital from nutritional information', 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting, Merida, Mexico, 18th June 2003

2002

5
Conference Paper/s

O'Connor M 2002 'Explanations and affect: Their influence in judgmental forecasting', Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Kansas City, United States, 1st January 2002-31st December 2002

O'Connor M, Davies L and Lawrence M 2002 'The influence of positive affect and DSS explanations in judgmental forecasting', Programme for the 22nd International Symposium on Forecasting 2002, Dublin, Ireland, 26th June 2002

Lawrence M and O'Connor M 2002 'Dealing with bias: How well do forecasters handle an asymmetric loss function', Programme for the 22nd International Symposium on Forecasting 2002, Dublin, Ireland, 26th June 2002

Nelson M, Lawrence M and O'Connor M 2002 'The influence of task randomness and information disclosure on the utility of confidence information in decision making', Programme for the 22nd International Symposium on Forecasting 2002, Dublin, Ireland, 26th June 2002

2001

4
Journal Article/s

O'Connor M, Remus W and Griggs K 2001 'The asymmetry of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.17:4, pp. 623-33

2000

4
Journal Article/s

Lawrence M and O'Connor M 2000 'Sales forecasting updates: How good are they in practice?', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.16:3, pp. 369-82

Lawrence M, O'Connor M and Edmundson B 2000 'A field study of sales forecasting accuracy and processes', European Journal of Operations Research, vol.122:1, pp. 151-60

O'Connor M, Remus W and Griggs K 2000 'Does updating judgemental forecasts improve forecast accuracy?', International Journal of Forecasting, vol.16:1, pp. 101-9

1999

4
Journal Article/s

Nelson L, Hill T, Remus W and O'Connor M 1999 'Time series forecasting using neural networks: Should the data be deseasonalized first?', Journal of Forecasting, vol.18:5, pp. 359-67

Research Expertise

  • Business Information Systems
  • Improving resource allocation decisions
  • Information sharing
  • Judgemental forecasting
  • Supporting decision making
  • Using IT in decision making and judgement

Recent Units Taught