Dr Arul Earnest

Adjunct Senior Lecturer
University Centre for Rural Health, School of Public Health


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Biographical details

Arul is currently a Director of the Centre for Quantitative Medicine in Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School in Singapore. Arul has worked with researchers from various backgrounds, including health services research, health workforce and spatial epidemiology. He also collaborates with clinicians from various specialities. Arul has experience in providing talks on biostatistics and he enjoys conducting classes on the use of statistical software.

Research interests

Bayesian analysis, spatio-temporal modelling, random effects modelling, survival analysis, longitudinal analysis

International links

Singapore

(Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School) Director, Centre for Quantitative Medicine

Selected grants

2007

  • Economic impacts of disease on older workers: Costs to government and individuals and opportunities for intervention; Schofield D, Earnest A, Edwards D, Percival R, Kelly S, Kelly S, Passey M, Earnest A, Percival R, Kelly S; Australian Research Council (ARC)/Linkage Projects (LP).

2006

  • Work, health and older working life; Passey M, Schofield D, Earnest A; Pfizer Australia/Research Contract.

Selected publications

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Journals

  • Summerhayes, R., Morgan, G., Lincoln, D., Edwards, H., Earnest, A., Rahman, B., Byleveld, P., Cowie, C., Beard, J. (2011). Spatio-temporal variation in trihalomethanes in New South Wales. Water Research, 45(17), 5715-5726. [More Information]
  • Earnest, A., Beard, J., Morgan, G., Lincoln, D., Summerhayes, R., Donoghue, D., Dunn, T., Muscatello, D., Mengersen, K. (2010). Small area estimation of sparse disease counts using shared component models-application to birth defect registry data in New South Wales, Australia. Health and Place, 16. [More Information]
  • Heathcote (nee Jong), K., Kelly, B., Earnest, A., Beard, J. (2009). Correlates of comorbid mental disorders in a regional community-based sample. Australian Journal of Rural Health, 17(5), 257-262. [More Information]
  • Passey, M., Earnest, A., Percival, R., Kelly, S., Shrestha, R., Fletcher, S. (2009). Health&WealthMOD: A Microsimulation Model Of The Economic Impacts Of Diseases On Older Workers. International Journal of Microsimulation, 2(2), 58-63.
  • Beard, J., Tomaska, N., Earnest, A., Summerhayes, R., Morgan, G. (2009). Influence of socioeconomic and cultural factors on rural health. Australian Journal of Rural Health, 17(1), 10-15. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Lincoln, D., Donoghue, D., Taylor, D., Summerhayes, R., Dunn, T., Earnest, A., Morgan, G. (2009). Socioeconomic and maternal determinants of small-for-gestational age births: patterns of increasing disparity. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica, 88(5), 575-583. [More Information]
  • Schofield, D., Shrestha, R., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Fletcher, S. (2008). Chronic disease and labour force participation among older Australians. Medical Journal of Australia, 189(8), 447-450. [More Information]
  • Page Mitchell, S., Earnest, A., Birden, H., Deaker, R., Clark, C. (2008). Improving vaccination cold chain in the general practice setting. Australian Family Physician, 37(10), 892-896. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Earnest, A., Morgan, G., Chan, H., Summerhayes, R., Dunn, T., Tomaska, N., Ryan, L. (2008). Socioeconomic disadvantage and acute coronary events: a spatiotemporal analysis. Epidemiology, 19(3), 485-492. [More Information]
  • Kow, A., Chan, S., Earnest, A., Chan, C., Lim, K., Chong, S., Lim, K., Ho, C., Chew, S., Liau, K. (2008). Striving for a better operative outcome: 101 Pancreaticoduodenectomies. HPB, 10(6), 464-471.
  • Schofield, D., Fletcher, S., Earnest, A., Passey, M., Shrestha, R. (2008). Where are older workers with chronic conditions employed? Medical Journal of Australia, 188(4), 231-234. [More Information]
  • Schofield, D., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Gloor, I., Shrestha, R. (2007). Are We Getting Healthier As We Grow Older? Implications for baby boomer labour force participation. New York Academy of Sciences. Annals, 1114, 230-240. [More Information]
  • Chua, H., Sitoh, Y., Earnest, A., Venketasubramanian, N. (2007). Detection of internal carotid artery stenosis with duplex velocity criteria using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore (AAMS), 36(4), 247-252.
  • Earnest, A., Morgan, G., Mengersen, K., Ryan, L., Summerhayes, R., Beard, J. (2007). Evaluating the effect of neighbourhood weight matrices on smoothing properties of Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) models. International Journal of Health Geographics, 6(54), 1-12. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Heathcote (nee Jong), K., Brooks, R., Earnest, A., Kelly, B. (2007). Predictors of mental disorders and their outcome in a community based cohort. Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, 42(8), 623-630. [More Information]
  • Schofield, D., Earnest, A. (2006). Demographic change and the future demand for public hospital care in Australia, 2005 to 2050. Australian Health Review, 30(4), 507-515. [More Information]

Conferences

  • Schofield, D., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Gloor, I., Shrestha, R. (2006). Are We Getting Healthier As We Grow Older? Implications for baby boomer labour force participation. 3rd International Conference on Healthy Ageing & Longevity, New York: Research Centre for Healthy Ageing & Longevity (IRCHAL).

2011

  • Summerhayes, R., Morgan, G., Lincoln, D., Edwards, H., Earnest, A., Rahman, B., Byleveld, P., Cowie, C., Beard, J. (2011). Spatio-temporal variation in trihalomethanes in New South Wales. Water Research, 45(17), 5715-5726. [More Information]

2010

  • Earnest, A., Beard, J., Morgan, G., Lincoln, D., Summerhayes, R., Donoghue, D., Dunn, T., Muscatello, D., Mengersen, K. (2010). Small area estimation of sparse disease counts using shared component models-application to birth defect registry data in New South Wales, Australia. Health and Place, 16. [More Information]

2009

  • Heathcote (nee Jong), K., Kelly, B., Earnest, A., Beard, J. (2009). Correlates of comorbid mental disorders in a regional community-based sample. Australian Journal of Rural Health, 17(5), 257-262. [More Information]
  • Passey, M., Earnest, A., Percival, R., Kelly, S., Shrestha, R., Fletcher, S. (2009). Health&WealthMOD: A Microsimulation Model Of The Economic Impacts Of Diseases On Older Workers. International Journal of Microsimulation, 2(2), 58-63.
  • Beard, J., Tomaska, N., Earnest, A., Summerhayes, R., Morgan, G. (2009). Influence of socioeconomic and cultural factors on rural health. Australian Journal of Rural Health, 17(1), 10-15. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Lincoln, D., Donoghue, D., Taylor, D., Summerhayes, R., Dunn, T., Earnest, A., Morgan, G. (2009). Socioeconomic and maternal determinants of small-for-gestational age births: patterns of increasing disparity. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica, 88(5), 575-583. [More Information]

2008

  • Schofield, D., Shrestha, R., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Fletcher, S. (2008). Chronic disease and labour force participation among older Australians. Medical Journal of Australia, 189(8), 447-450. [More Information]
  • Page Mitchell, S., Earnest, A., Birden, H., Deaker, R., Clark, C. (2008). Improving vaccination cold chain in the general practice setting. Australian Family Physician, 37(10), 892-896. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Earnest, A., Morgan, G., Chan, H., Summerhayes, R., Dunn, T., Tomaska, N., Ryan, L. (2008). Socioeconomic disadvantage and acute coronary events: a spatiotemporal analysis. Epidemiology, 19(3), 485-492. [More Information]
  • Kow, A., Chan, S., Earnest, A., Chan, C., Lim, K., Chong, S., Lim, K., Ho, C., Chew, S., Liau, K. (2008). Striving for a better operative outcome: 101 Pancreaticoduodenectomies. HPB, 10(6), 464-471.
  • Schofield, D., Fletcher, S., Earnest, A., Passey, M., Shrestha, R. (2008). Where are older workers with chronic conditions employed? Medical Journal of Australia, 188(4), 231-234. [More Information]

2007

  • Schofield, D., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Gloor, I., Shrestha, R. (2007). Are We Getting Healthier As We Grow Older? Implications for baby boomer labour force participation. New York Academy of Sciences. Annals, 1114, 230-240. [More Information]
  • Chua, H., Sitoh, Y., Earnest, A., Venketasubramanian, N. (2007). Detection of internal carotid artery stenosis with duplex velocity criteria using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore (AAMS), 36(4), 247-252.
  • Earnest, A., Morgan, G., Mengersen, K., Ryan, L., Summerhayes, R., Beard, J. (2007). Evaluating the effect of neighbourhood weight matrices on smoothing properties of Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) models. International Journal of Health Geographics, 6(54), 1-12. [More Information]
  • Beard, J., Heathcote (nee Jong), K., Brooks, R., Earnest, A., Kelly, B. (2007). Predictors of mental disorders and their outcome in a community based cohort. Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, 42(8), 623-630. [More Information]

2006

  • Schofield, D., Passey, M., Earnest, A., Gloor, I., Shrestha, R. (2006). Are We Getting Healthier As We Grow Older? Implications for baby boomer labour force participation. 3rd International Conference on Healthy Ageing & Longevity, New York: Research Centre for Healthy Ageing & Longevity (IRCHAL).
  • Schofield, D., Earnest, A. (2006). Demographic change and the future demand for public hospital care in Australia, 2005 to 2050. Australian Health Review, 30(4), 507-515. [More Information]

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