2010 Geovet program


Monday, 29 November

  • Introduction to Quantum GIS … Ben Madin, Jenny Hutchison (Wallace Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)
  • Spatial Methods in Molecular Epidemiology … Petra Müllner, Nigel French, Andres Perez, Fernando Madonnes (WP Young Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)

Tuesday, 30 November

  • Introduction to Quantum GIS … Ben Madin, Jenny Hutchison (Wallace Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)
  • Spatial Methods in Molecular Epidemiology … Petra Müllner, Nigel French, Andres Perez, Fernando Madonnes (WP Young Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)


6:00pm Barbeque, Veterinary Science Conference Centre, The University of Sydney

Wednesday, 1 December

   
9:00

Opening remarks, Professor Michael Ward

Faculty of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney

9:05

Official Conference Opening, Dr. Andy Carroll, Chief Veterinary Officer, Australia

9:15

Faculty Welcome, Dr. Rosanne Taylor, Dean

Faculty of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney

Session 1
Abstract

Title / Presenter

  KEYNOTE 1

9:25 (1)

The spatial epidemiologic (r)evolution: a look back in time

Tim Carpenter, Department. of Medicine and Epidemiology, The University of California, Davis USA; tecarpenter@ucdavis.edu
  SENIOR

10:05 (85)

Risk mapping African swine fever in Africa: an exercise in uncertainty

William de Glanville

Department of Veterinary Clinical Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, London UK; wdeglanville@rvc.ac.uk

Morning Tea 10:30 - 11:00

  Regular papers

11:00

(27)

Simple spatial distribution models for vector density in a field

Carsten Kirkeby

National Veterinary Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Bülowsvej 27; ckir@vet.dtu.dk

11:15

(29)

Understanding Geographic Epidemiology: The Geographic Epidemiologic Trillium

Olaf Berke

Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Canada; oberke@uoguelph.ca

11:30

(42)

A review of techniques for measuring the geographical extents of real or simulated infectious disease outbreaks

Robert Sanson

AsureQuality Limited, Batchelar Agriculture Centre, Palmerston North, New Zealand; Robert.Sanson@asurequality.com

11:45

(100)

Spatial Analysis and Prevalence Estimation of Bluetongue in Switzerland Prior to and Following the Vaccination Campaign

Georgette Kluiters

Department of Veterinary Clinical Science, University of Liverpool, Neston, UK; g.kluiters@liverpool.ac.uk

12:00

(35)

Disease emergence and spread through aquatic ecosystems: assessing the impact of the ranavirus EHNV on native fish species in the Murray-Darling Basin

Richard Whittington

Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; sharon.roche@sydney.edu.au

12:15

(58)

Herd and environmental level determinants of reproductive performance in Swedish dairy herds, 2001-2009

Mark Stevenson

EpiCentre, Institute of Veterinary, Animal and Biomedical Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand; M.Stevenson@massey.ac.nz

Lunch 12:30 - 13:30

Session 2
  KEYNOTE 2

13:30

(2)

Modelling spatial data to inform the surveillance and control of infectious disease: new tools provide new insight

Nigel French, Institute of Veterinary, Animal and Biomedical Sciences, Massey University, New Zealand; N.P.French@massey.ac.nz
  SENIOR

14:10

(89)

Combining spatial and molecular tools to assess the effect of interventions

Petra Müllner

Epicentre, Massey University, Palmerston North & Epi-interactive, Wellington, New Zealand; p.mullner@massey.ac.nz

14:35

(91)

Spatial surveillance during control of infectious diseases – Salmonella Dublin in Denmark 2002-2009

Annette Ersbøll, University of Southern Denmark, National Institute of Public Health, København, Denmark; ake@niph.dk

Afternoon Tea 15:00 - 15:30

  Regular papers

15:30

(71)

Use of Remote Sensing for risk mapping of West Nile Disease in North-Eastern Italy

Paolo Mulatti

Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Legnaro (Padua), Italy; pmulatti@izsvenezie.it

15:45

(111)

Predicting West Nile virus spread in Australia: Integrating spatial analysis within a risk assessment framework

Sharon Roche
Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; sharon.roche@sydney.edu.au

16:00

(43)

Increasing the resolution of Bluetongue spatial modelling - from cattle farms to cattle in fields

Kaare Græsbøl

Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modelling and National Veterinary Institute, Technical University of Denmark; kagr@imm.dtu.dk

16:15

(54)

Informal pig movements across Eastern Indonesia: high risk movement pathways for Classical Swine Fever

Edwina Leslie

Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; eles2597@uni.sydney.edu.au

16:30

(79)

Spatio-temporal modelling of Campylobacter infection in Danish

commercial broiler farms

Sharmin Chowdhury

National Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, København, Denmark; shar@niph.dk

16:45

(41)

The potential of remotely sensed bioclimatic variables to model the distribution of bluetongue virus in Northern Australia

Bernard Klingseisen

Department of Spatial Sciences, Curtin University, Perth Western Australia;

b.klingseisen@curtin.edu.au
6:30 Reception, Nicholson Museum, The Quadrangle, University of Sydney

Thursday, 2 December

Session 3
  KEYNOTE 3

8:30

(1)

Global surveillance using novel spatial methods

Andres Perez
National Council of Scientific Research (CONICET), Argentina & Center for Animal Disease Modelling and Surveillance, University of California, Davis USA; amperez@ucdavis.edu
  SENIOR PAPERS

9:10

(96)

Analysis of Foot-and-Mouth Disease outbreaks in mainland South-East Asia from 2000-2009

Ben Madin

AusVet Animal Health Services / Murdoch University, Broome, Western Australia; ben@ausvet.com.au

9:35

(55)

Spatial and temporal outbreak dynamics of HPAI H5N1 in Indonesian poultry

Matt Farnsworth

USDA-APHIS-VS-Centers for Epidemiology and Animal Health, Fort Collins CO, USA; matt.farnsworth@aphis.usda.gov
 

Regular papers

10:00

(32)

Understanding risk factors contributing to the persistence of HPAI H5N1 infection in China

Vincent Martin

Emergency Centre for the control of Transboundary Animal Diseases, Food Agriculture Organization, Beijing, China; Vincent.martin@fao.org

10:15

(65)

Clusters of risk factors associated with highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreak in Lagos State, Nigeria, 2006-2007

Babasola Olugasa

Department of Veterinary Public Health and Preventive Medicine, University of Ibadan, Nigeria; b.olugasa@mail.ui.edu.ng

Morning Tea 10:30 - 11:00

  SENIOR PAPERS

11:00

(60)

Spatio-temporal analyses of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 outbreaks in the Mekong River Delta, Vietnam, 2009

P.Q. Minh
Department of Animal Health, Hanoi, Vietnam; pqminh@dah.gov.vn

  Regular papers

11:25

(109)

Assessing the risk of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 spread in poultry market chains in Bali based on spatial disease surveillance

Sharon Roche

Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; sharon.roche@sydney.edu.au

11:40

(57)

Spatial differences in Paratuberculosis prevalence and in control programme participation

Kristine Bihrmann

Faculty of Life Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Frederiksberg, Denmark; krbi@life.ku.dk

11:55

(108)

Diagnosis of bovine brucellosis in the province of Buenos Aires, Argentina during 2008: spatial distribution and identification of clusters

Santiago Corva

Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Argentina; sgcorva@fcv.unlp.edu.ar

12:10

(64)

Epizootiological assessment of Peste des Petits Ruminants prophylactic programme in Akure, Nigeria, 2006 – 2008

Babasola Olugasa

Department of Veterinary Public Health and Preventive Medicine, University of Ibadan, Nigeria; b.olugasa@mail.ui.edu.ng

Lunch 12:30 - 13:30

Session 4
  KEYNOTE 4

13:30

(2)

Using data and knowledge-driven approaches for spatial modelling

Dirk Pfeiffer, Department of Veterinary Clinical Sciences, The Royal Veterinary College, London UK; pfeiffer@rvc.ac.uk
  SENIOR

14:10

(33)

Value chain and social network analysis in the planning and implementation of risk-based surveillance for avian influenza control in South China

Vincent Martin

Emergency Centre for the Control of Transboundary Animal Diseases, Food Agriculture Organization, Beijing, China; Vincent.martin@fao.org

14:35

(106)

Cartographical analysis of African swine fever outbreaks in Russian Federation and computer modeling of basic reproduction ratio

Fedor Korennoy

FGI “Federal Center for Animal Health”, Vladimir, mkr. Yurevets, Russian Federation; korennoy@arriah.ru

Afternoon Tea

  Regular papers

15:30

(97)

On the Effect of Diagnostic Misclassification Bias on the Observed Spatial Pattern in Regional Count Data: A Simulation Study

Olaf Berke

Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Canada; oberke@uoguelph.ca

15:45

(80)

Comparison of crude and model-adjusted space-time scan statistics for food animal syndromic surveillance

Gillian Alton

Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Canada; altong@uoguelph.ca

16:00

(95)

Assessing the movement of livestock in the Greater Mekong Subregion

Ben Madin

AusVet Animal Health Services & Murdoch University, Broome, Western Australia; ben@ausvet.com.au

16:15

(31)

Mapping the impacts of climate change on vector-borne diseases: application to Orbiviruses

Helene Guis

CIRAD, Montpellier, France; helene.guis@cirad.fr

16:30

(49)

Quantitative analysis of spatial transmission for bluetongue virus serotype 8 in western Europe in 2006 and 2007

Gert Boender

Quantitative Veterinary Epidemiology and Risk Analysis (QVERA) group, Department of Virology, Central Veterinary Institute of Wageningen, Lelystad, Netherlands; gertjan.boender@wur.nl

16:45

(101)

Modelling the Distribution of Culicoides Bluetongue Vectors in North Wales

Georgette Kluiters

Department of Veterinary Clinical Science, University of Liverpool, Neston, UK; g.kluiters@liverpool.ac.uk
6:30 Conference Dinner, The Great Hall, The Quadrangle, University of Sydney

Friday, 3 December

  KEYNOTE 5

8:30

(4)

Spatio-temporal modelling and surveillance of wildlife diseases

Christoph Staubach

Institute of Epidemiology, Friedrich-Loeffler-Institut, Federal Research Institute for Animal Health, Wusterhausen, Germany; Christoph.Staubach@fli.bund.de
  SENIOR

9:10

(102)

The effect of neighbourhood definitions on spatio-temporal models of disease outbreaks: separation distance versus range overlap

Shawn Laffan

School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; shawn.laffan@unsw.edu.au

9:35

(34)

FMD revisited: re-analysis using Bayesian spatial SIR models

Andrew Lawson

Division of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina; lawsonab@musc.edu
  Regular papers

10:00

(82)

Movement patterns of feral swine in a south Texas rangeland: implications for disease spread

Lindsey Holmstrom

Department of Veterinary Medicine and Epidemiology, University of California, Davis, U.S.A.; lkholmstrom@ucdavis.edu

10:15

(84)

Unraveling the Wildlife Livestock Interface: Understanding contact between cattle and deer for disease control

Ryan Miller

National Wildlife Research Center, Fort Collins, USA; ryan.miller@aphis.usda.gov
  Morning Tea 10:30-11:00
  Regular papers

11:00

(81)

Spatial patterns of wild herbivores at the livestock-wildlife interface on the Laikipia plateau, Kenya

Bernard Phiri

Zambia Institute of Animal Health, Mazabuka, Zambia; bjphiri@gmail.com

11:15

(83)

Grazing patterns of cattle at risk of FMD infection by wildlife near Kruger park, South Africa

De Clercq, E.M.

Agriculture and Veterinary Information and Analysis (Avia-GIS), Zoersel, Belgium; edeclercq@avia-gis.be

11:30

(107)

What role does wildlife play in emergency diseases? The case of the feral pig

Katherine Negus

Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camperdown, Australia; katherine.negus@sydney.edu.au

11:45

(110)

Classical Swine Fever preparedness for Australian feral pigs: a simulation modelling approach

Brendan Cowled
Office of the Chief Veterinary Officer, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Canberra, Australia; brendan.cowled@daff.gov.au

12:00

(72)

Identification of rabies hotspots above the threshold altitude of the 2009-2010 oral fox vaccination in Italy

Paolo Mulatti

Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Legnaro (Padua), Italy; pmulatti@izsvenezie.it

12:15

(30)

Spatial analysis of the distribution of rabies in animals in Bhutan

Tenzin

The Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; tenzin.tenzin@sydney.edu.au

Lunch 12.30 - 13.30

  KEYNOTE 6

13:30

(40)

Companion animal disease surveillance: a new solution to an old problem?

Michael Ward, Faculty of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; michael.ward@sydney.edu.au
  SENIOR

14:10

(36)

Applying social network analysis to contact-tracing and spatial data from the 2007 outbreak of equine influenza in Australia

Simon Firestone

Faculty of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden, Australia; simon.firestone@sydney.edu.au

14:35

(98)

Spatial and temporal characterization of the farm level reproductive number for the epidemic of infectious salmon anemia in southern Chile in 2007-2010

Fernando Mardones

Center for Animal Disease Modeling and Surveillance, Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis CA, U.S.A; fomardones@ucdavis.edu

Afternoon Tea 15.00 - 15.30

  Regular papers

15:30

(47)

Geographical distribution of antimicrobial drug usage in Norwegian dogs based on prescription data

Madelaine Norström

Department of Health Surveillance, National Veterinary Institute, Oslo, Norway; madelaine.norstrom@vetinst.no

15:45

(66)

Geographical risk of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infections in companion animals in Great Britain, 2005-2007

Ricardo Soares Magalhaes

School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Herston, Queensland, Australia; r.magalhaes@sph.uq.edu.au

16:00

(30)

Spatio-temporal distribution of mink plasmacytosis in Denmark

Gonçalo Espregueira Themudo

National Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark; gonc@niph.dk

16:15

(74)

Relationship between Landscape and Culicoides imicola abundance in Sardinia Region - Italy

Carla IppolitiIstituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell’Abruzzo e del Molise, Teramo, Italy; c.ippoliti@izs.it

16:30

(61)

Community detection and animal trade between counties in the State of Mato Grosso, Brazil

Grisi-Filho, J.H.H.

School of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Science, University of São Paulo, Brazil; grisi@vps.fmvz.usp.br

16:45

(37)

Mastitis in Swedish dairy herds – are there regions with no clinical mastitis?

Cecilia Wolff

Department of Clinical Sciences, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; cecilia.wolff@kv.slu.se
17:00 Discussion and Conference Close

Saturday, 4 December

Bayesian Disease Mapping … Andrew Lawson (WP Young Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)

Sunday, 5 December

Bayesian Disease Mapping … Andrew Lawson (WP Young Room, Veterinary Science Conference Centre)


Poster Presentations

Abstract

Title / Presenter

3

Transboundary animal disease early warning system: Use of computerized flash board technology in I.R.Iran

V. Otarod

Iran Veterinary Organization; ivoanimalhealth@ivo.org.ir
8

Clusters, foci and hotspots of rabies risk factors in Ilorin city, Nigeria, 2002 - 2008

Babasola Olugasa

Department of Veterinary Public Health and Preventive Medicine, University of Ibadan, Nigeria; b.olugasa@mail.ui.edu.ng
10

Geospatial database development of poultry farms and markets

in Bangladesh

Leo Loth

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Bangladesh; leo.loth@fao.org
56

Developing a risk-based surveillance system for the cattle production chain using spatial analyses

Jonsson M E.

Section for Epidemiology, National Veterinary Institute, Oslo, Norway; malin.jonsson@vetinst.no
59

Where do dairy cows urinate? Tools to aid nitrogen emission mitigation

Draganova, I.

Institute of Natural Resources, Collage of Sciences, Massey University, New

Zealand; I.Draganova@massey.ac.nz
63

Demographics, movement characteristics and biosecurity practices of horse properties in New Zealand

Rosanowski, S.M.

EpiCentre, Institute of Veterinary, Animal and Biomedical Sciences, Massey University, New Zealand; S.Rosanowski@massey.ac.nz
67

Management of the emergency oral anti-rabies vaccination campaigns in Italy (2009- 2010) by a GIS-based system

Paolo Mulatti

Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Legnaro, Italy; pmulatti@izsvenezie.it
68

Understanding the clusters of HPAI outbreaks in Bangladesh; 2007-2008.

S.S.U. Ahmed

University of Copenhagen, Faculty of Life Sciences, Department of Large Animal Sciences, Frederiskberg, Denmark; ssua@life.ku.dk
73

Enhancement of animal disease investigations and emergency response using

a geo-referenced animal health database

Marianne Ash

Indiana State Board of Animal Health, Indianapolis, U.S.A.; mash@boah.in.gov
76

GeoCREV: an example of GIS veterinary application

Ferrè, N.

Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Legnaro, Italy; crev.nferre@izsvenezie.it
93

Space-time analysis of visceral leishmaniasis in Bauru, São Paulo, Brazil

Souza, V.A.F.

Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of São Paulo, Brazil; vanessafeijo@usp.br
105

SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE IN AFGHANISTAN

Andres Perez

University of California, Davis, USA. and CONICET, Rosario, Argentina; amperez@ucdavis.edu