Operations Management and Econometrics
Best Guess and Learning Models
Professor Stephen G Walker, University of Kent, UK
1st Apr 2011 11:00 am - Room 498, Merewether Building
It is to be argued that Bayesian methods are a combination of making best guesses and learning. For this idea to be formulated it is necessary to fully understand what a Bayesian believes she is learning about and what she is making guesses about. This talk will present a framework in which best guesses are revised via a learning process based on observations. Illustrations involving model selection will be presented.