China and the Fifth Generation Leadership: China Moves into the Era of Socio Political Change
Professor Kerry Brown, Executive Director, China Studies Centre
A China Studies Centre Distinguished Speaker lecture
The Communist Party of China is about to undergo a major leadership transition. The era of Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao is drawing to a close. They have guided the People’s Republic of China towards becoming the world’s second largest economy – but they leave power in a country where over 120 million people are still living in poverty, and where there are immense challenges in terms of inequality, social stability and a sustainable economic future. This talk will look at how we can assess the Hu and Wen period, and how the future leaders will deal with a transition into an era in which the greatest challenges will be socio-political. It will look at the likely scenarios the Communist Party will face as it moves towards middle income status by 2020, and it will try to answer the question of what China might look like at the end of the next decade.
Professor Kerry Brown is Executive Director of the China Studies Centre, and Professor of Chinese Politics at the University of Sydney. He leads the Europe China Research and Advice Network (ECRAN), funded by the European Commission. Prior to this he was Head of the Asia Programme at Chatham House. Educated at Cambridge, London and Leeds Universities, he worked in Japan, and the Inner Mongolian region of China, before joining the Foreign and Commonwealth Office in London. He worked in the China Section and then served as First Secretary, Beijing, from 2000 to 2003, and Head of the Indonesia East Timor Section at the FCO from 2003 to 2005.
Kerry Brown is the author of The Cultural Revolution in Inner Mongolia (2006), Struggling Giant: China in the 21st Century (2007), The Rise of the Dragon – Chinese Investment Flows in the Reform Period (2008), Friends and Enemies: The Past, Present and Future of the Communist Party of China (2009), Ballot Box China (2011), along with an edited collection China 2020 . Hu Jintao, China’s Silent Leader has just been published, and he is working on the Palgrave Macmillan Introduction to China, to appear in early 2013.