ECMT6006: Semester 2, 2023

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Units ECMT6006 Semester 2 2023 [Normal day]

Unit outline_

ECMT6006: Applied Financial Econometrics

Semester 2, 2023 [Normal day] - Camperdown/Darlington, Sydney

Overview

This unit provides an introduction to some of the widely used econometric models designed for the analysis of financial data, and the procedures used to estimate them. Special emphasis is placed upon empirical work and applied analysis of real market data. The unit deals with topics such as: the statistical nature of financial data; the specification, estimation and testing of assets pricing models; the analysis of high frequency financial data; and the modelling of volatility in financial returns. Throughout the unit, students are encouraged (especially in assignments) to familiarise themselves with financial data and learn how to apply the models to these data.

Unit details and rules

Academic unit	Economics
Credit points	6
Prerequisites ?	ECMT6002 or ECMT6702
Corequisites ?	None
Prohibitions ?	None
Assumed knowledge ?	None
Available to study abroad and exchange students	Yes

Teaching staff

Coordinator	Andrew Wait, andrew.wait@sydney.edu.au
Lecturer(s)	Felipe Queiroz Pelaio, felipe.queirozpelaio@sydney.edu.au

Type	Description	Weight	Due	Length
Supervised exam ?	Final exam Paper-based exam with multiple-answer and short-answer questions	50%	Formal exam period	2 hours
Outcomes assessed:
Assignment	Assignment 1 Short/long answers	10%	Week 05 Due date: 03 Sep 2023 at 23:59	varies
Outcomes assessed:
Short release assignment	In-semester test Online test	20%	Week 07 Due date: 14 Sep 2023 at 18:00 Closing date: 14 Sep 2023	1 hour + 30mins upload
Outcomes assessed:
Assignment	Assignment 2 Short/long answers	10%	Week 09 Due date: 08 Oct 2023 at 23:59	varies
Outcomes assessed:
Assignment	Assignment 3 Short/long answers	10%	Week 13 Due date: 05 Nov 2023 at 23:59	varies
Outcomes assessed:

Assessment summary

Detailed information for each assessment can be found on Canvas.

Assessment criteria

The University awards common result grades, set out in the Coursework Policy (Schedule 1).

As a general guide, a High Distinction indicates work of an exceptional standard, a Distinction a very high standard, a Credit a good standard, and a Pass an acceptable standard.

Result name	Mark range	Description
High distinction	85 - 100
Distinction	75 - 84
Credit	65 - 74
Pass	50 - 64
Fail	0 - 49	When you don’t meet the learning outcomes of the unit to a satisfactory standard.

For more information see guide to grades.

Late submission

In accordance with University policy, these penalties apply when written work is submitted after 11:59pm on the due date:

Deduction of 5% of the maximum mark for each calendar day after the due date.
After ten calendar days late, a mark of zero will be awarded.

Academic integrity

The Current Student website provides information on academic integrity and the resources available to all students. The University expects students and staff to act ethically and honestly and will treat all allegations of academic integrity breaches seriously.

We use similarity detection software to detect potential instances of plagiarism or other forms of academic integrity breach. If such matches indicate evidence of plagiarism or other forms of academic integrity breaches, your teacher is required to report your work for further investigation.

Use of generative artificial intelligence (AI) and automated writing tools

You may only use generative AI and automated writing tools in assessment tasks if you are permitted to by your unit coordinator. If you do use these tools, you must acknowledge this in your work, either in a footnote or an acknowledgement section. The assessment instructions or unit outline will give guidance of the types of tools that are permitted and how the tools should be used.

Your final submitted work must be your own, original work. You must acknowledge any use of generative AI tools that have been used in the assessment, and any material that forms part of your submission must be appropriately referenced. For guidance on how to acknowledge the use of AI, please refer to the AI in Education Canvas site.

The unapproved use of these tools or unacknowledged use will be considered a breach of the Academic Integrity Policy and penalties may apply.

Studiosity is permitted unless otherwise indicated by the unit coordinator. The use of this service must be acknowledged in your submission as detailed on the Learning Hub’s Canvas page.

Outside assessment tasks, generative AI tools may be used to support your learning. The AI in Education Canvas site contains a number of productive ways that students are using AI to improve their learning.

Learning support

Simple extensions

If you encounter a problem submitting your work on time, you may be able to apply for an extension of five calendar days through a simple extension.  The application process will be different depending on the type of assessment and extensions cannot be granted for some assessment types like exams.

Special consideration

If exceptional circumstances mean you can’t complete an assessment, you need consideration for a longer period of time, or if you have essential commitments which impact your performance in an assessment, you may be eligible for special consideration or special arrangements.

Special consideration applications will not be affected by a simple extension application.

Using AI responsibly

Co-created with students, AI in Education includes lots of helpful examples of how students use generative AI tools to support their learning. It explains how generative AI works, the different tools available and how to use them responsibly and productively.

Weekly schedule

WK	Topic	Learning activity
Week 01	Introduction and review of probability	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 02	Review of statistics and time series concepts	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 03	The efficient market hypothesis and financial market predictability	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 04	Modelling asset returns using ARMA models	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 05	Modelling volatility using (G)ARCH models I	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 06	Modelling volatility using (G)ARCH models II	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 07	In-semester test	Lecture (1 hr)
Week 08	Multivariate volatility models	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 09	Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 10	Evaluating, comparing and combining models	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 11	Modelling high-frequency financial data	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 12	Realised volatility	Lecture (3 hr)
Week 13	Review	Lecture (3 hr)

Attendance and class requirements

Attendance: This unit has only an on-campus learning stream. Students are expected to attend 90% of their classes.
Lecture Recording: Lecture recordings will be made available to students on Canvas. However, you should not rely on lecture recording to substitute your live in-class learning experience.
Preparation: Students should commit to spend approximately three hours’ preparation time (reading, studying, homework, essays, etc.) for every hour of scheduled instruction.

Study commitment

Typically, there is a minimum expectation of 1.5-2 hours of student effort per week per credit point for units of study offered over a full semester. For a 6 credit point unit, this equates to roughly 120-150 hours of student effort in total.

Required readings

The reference textbooks are:

Campbell, J. Y., A. Lo and A. C. MacKinlay, The Econometrics of Financial Markets, Princeton University Press, 1997.
Patton, A., Forecasting Financial Markets, Draft Book (Encrypted PDF file posted on Canvas), 2019

Learning outcomes

Learning outcomes are what students know, understand and are able to do on completion of a unit of study. They are aligned with the University's graduate qualities and are assessed as part of the curriculum.

Outcomes
Graduate qualities

At the completion of this unit, you should be able to:

LO1. become familiar with the stylised facts of financial data and with the econometric methods for analysing such data
LO2. understand the key features of the classic and latest econometrics models used in financial economics
LO3. implement the econometric models in statistical packages, apply them to the data, and interpret the output from these models.

Graduate qualities

The graduate qualities are the qualities and skills that all University of Sydney graduates must demonstrate on successful completion of an award course. As a future Sydney graduate, the set of qualities have been designed to equip you for the contemporary world.

GQ1	Depth of disciplinary expertise Deep disciplinary expertise is the ability to integrate and rigorously apply knowledge, understanding and skills of a recognised discipline defined by scholarly activity, as well as familiarity with evolving practice of the discipline.
GQ2	Critical thinking and problem solving Critical thinking and problem solving are the questioning of ideas, evidence and assumptions in order to propose and evaluate hypotheses or alternative arguments before formulating a conclusion or a solution to an identified problem.
GQ3	Oral and written communication Effective communication, in both oral and written form, is the clear exchange of meaning in a manner that is appropriate to audience and context.
GQ4	Information and digital literacy Information and digital literacy is the ability to locate, interpret, evaluate, manage, adapt, integrate, create and convey information using appropriate resources, tools and strategies.
GQ5	Inventiveness Generating novel ideas and solutions.
GQ6	Cultural competence Cultural Competence is the ability to actively, ethically, respectfully, and successfully engage across and between cultures. In the Australian context, this includes and celebrates Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures, knowledge systems, and a mature understanding of contemporary issues.
GQ7	Interdisciplinary effectiveness Interdisciplinary effectiveness is the integration and synthesis of multiple viewpoints and practices, working effectively across disciplinary boundaries.
GQ8	Integrated professional, ethical, and personal identity An integrated professional, ethical and personal identity is understanding the interaction between one’s personal and professional selves in an ethical context.
GQ9	Influence Engaging others in a process, idea or vision.

Outcome map

Learning outcomes	Graduate qualities
Learning outcomes

Responding to student feedback

This section outlines changes made to this unit following staff and student reviews.

Changes have been made to the weekly schedule and assessments, based on feedback from past students.

Disclaimer

The University reserves the right to amend units of study or no longer offer certain units, including where there are low enrolment numbers.

To help you understand common terms that we use at the University, we offer an online glossary.

Current students

Overview

Overview

Unit details and rules

Teaching staff

Assessment

Assessment

Assessment summary

Assessment criteria

Late submission

Academic integrity

Learning support

Learning support

Simple extensions

Special consideration

Using AI responsibly

Weekly schedule

Weekly schedule

Attendance and class requirements

Study commitment

Required readings

Learning outcomes

Learning outcomes

Graduate qualities

Outcome map

Responding to student feedback

Responding to student feedback

Disclaimer

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