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Unit outline_

ECOS3007: International Macroeconomics

Semester 1, 2020 [Normal day] - Camperdown/Darlington, Sydney

This unit studies macroeconomic theory and policy in a global trading world. The microfoundations of the various sectors are examined in the context of an open economy. The evolution of international money and capital markets is described, the operation of the foreign exchange market is examined, showing how its microstructure affects its macro performance. Theories and tests of the efficiency of international capital markets are surveyed, as well as core theories and tests of exchange rate and asset price determination. The unit develops the macroeconomic implications of monetary and fiscal policies for small and large open economies for different regimes.

Unit details and rules

Academic unit Economics
Credit points 6
Prerequisites
? 
ECOS2002 or ECOS2902 or ECOS2040
Corequisites
? 
None
Prohibitions
? 
None
Assumed knowledge
? 

None

Available to study abroad and exchange students

Yes

Teaching staff

Coordinator Graham White, g.white@sydney.edu.au
Type Description Weight Due Length
Final exam Final exam
n/a
60% Formal exam period 2 hours
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4
In-semester test Mid-semester exam # 1
Multiple choice
20% Week 07
Due date: 08 Apr 2020 at 18:00
1 hour
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO4 LO3 LO2
In-semester test Mid-semester exam # 2
Essay
20% Week 10
Due date: 06 May 2020 at 18:00

Closing date: 06 May 2020
1 hour
Outcomes assessed: LO3 LO4

Assessment summary

Detailed information for each assessment can be found in the Canvas site for this unit.

Assessment criteria

The University awards common result grades, set out in the Coursework Policy 2014 (Schedule 1).

As a general guide, a High distinction indicates work of an exceptional standard, a Distinction a very high standard, a credit a good standard, and a pass an acceptable standard.

Result name

Mark range

Description

High distinction

85 - 100

 

Distinction

75 - 84

 

Credit

65 - 74

 

Pass

50 - 64

 

Fail

0 - 49

When you don’t meet the learning outcomes of the unit to a satisfactory standard.

For more information see guide to grades.

Late submission

In accordance with University policy, these penalties apply when written work is submitted after 11:59pm on the due date:

  • Deduction of 5% of the maximum mark for each calendar day after the due date.
  • After ten calendar days late, a mark of zero will be awarded.

Academic integrity

The Current Student website provides information on academic integrity and the resources available to all students. The University expects students and staff to act ethically and honestly and will treat all allegations of academic integrity breaches seriously.

We use similarity detection software to detect potential instances of plagiarism or other forms of academic integrity breach. If such matches indicate evidence of plagiarism or other forms of academic integrity breaches, your teacher is required to report your work for further investigation.

Use of generative artificial intelligence (AI) and automated writing tools

You may only use generative AI and automated writing tools in assessment tasks if you are permitted to by your unit coordinator. If you do use these tools, you must acknowledge this in your work, either in a footnote or an acknowledgement section. The assessment instructions or unit outline will give guidance of the types of tools that are permitted and how the tools should be used.

Your final submitted work must be your own, original work. You must acknowledge any use of generative AI tools that have been used in the assessment, and any material that forms part of your submission must be appropriately referenced. For guidance on how to acknowledge the use of AI, please refer to the AI in Education Canvas site.

The unapproved use of these tools or unacknowledged use will be considered a breach of the Academic Integrity Policy and penalties may apply.

Studiosity is permitted unless otherwise indicated by the unit coordinator. The use of this service must be acknowledged in your submission as detailed on the Learning Hub’s Canvas page.

Outside assessment tasks, generative AI tools may be used to support your learning. The AI in Education Canvas site contains a number of productive ways that students are using AI to improve their learning.

Simple extensions

If you encounter a problem submitting your work on time, you may be able to apply for an extension of five calendar days through a simple extension.  The application process will be different depending on the type of assessment and extensions cannot be granted for some assessment types like exams.

Special consideration

If exceptional circumstances mean you can’t complete an assessment, you need consideration for a longer period of time, or if you have essential commitments which impact your performance in an assessment, you may be eligible for special consideration or special arrangements.

Special consideration applications will not be affected by a simple extension application.

Using AI responsibly

Co-created with students, AI in Education includes lots of helpful examples of how students use generative AI tools to support their learning. It explains how generative AI works, the different tools available and how to use them responsibly and productively.

WK Topic Learning activity Learning outcomes
Weekly Please see the reading list for all lecture topics Lecture and tutorial (3 hr) LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4

Attendance and class requirements

  • Attendance: students are expected to attend 90% of their classes. If you attend less than 50% of classes, regardless of the reasons, you may be referred to the Examiner’s Board which will decide whether you should pass or fail the unit of study if your attendance falls below this threshold.
  • Lecture recording: Most lectures (in recording-equipped venues) will be recorded and may be made available to students on the LMS. However, you should not rely on lecture recording to substitute your classroom learning experience.
  • Preparation: students should commit to spend approximately three hours’ preparation time (reading, studying, homework, essays, etc.) for every hour of scheduled instruction.

PLEASE NOTE: Your grade in this course will be based on your understanding of lecture material and that understanding requires 100% commitment to attendance at lectures as well as doing the required reading. THERE IS NO VIABLE SUBSTITUTE – INCLUDING RELIANCE ON LECTURE RECORDINGS - FOR REGULAR ATTENDANCE AT LECTURES

Progressively working through the Practice Questions (provided on Canvas) is also critical to understanding lecture material. These practice questions bear directly on the key points discussed in lectures. To this end the third hour of each lecture timeslot is devoted to Question and Answer and in the process going through practice questions.

PLEASE NOTE: ANSWERS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS ARE NOT PROVIDED ON CANVAS. IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY TO ATTEND THE
Q & A SESSIONS IN EACH LECTURE TIMESLOT WHERE THESE QUESTIONS ARE ADDRESSED
.

Copies of the Powerpoint slides used in lectures should not be seen as a substitute for lecture notes. They contain diagrams and algebra used in lectures as well as a fairly cryptic listing of key points. Please bear in mind that students will be examined on their understanding of the material covered in the course and not on their ability to memorise bits and pieces of Powerpoint slides.

Study commitment

Typically, there is a minimum expectation of 1.5-2 hours of student effort per week per credit point for units of study offered over a full semester. For a 6 credit point unit, this equates to roughly 120-150 hours of student effort in total.

Required readings

LECTURE TOPICS

1. Balance of payments and foreign exchange markets: some basic concepts and propositions

  • The balance of payments: basic structure and economic significance
  • Exchange rates
  • Uncovered and covered interest rate parity
  • Purchasing power parity

References:

International Monetary Fund (2009), Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Ed., Washington D.C., Ch. 2, pp. 9-11, 14; Ch. 6 pp. 100-101, 110-12. (e-reserve)

Krugman, P. R., Obstfeld M. and Melitz. M. J.(2012), International economics : theory & policy, (Ninth ed., Global ed), Pearson: London,  pp.  336-46. (e-reserve)

Alper C. E. and Ardic O. P. (2008), “Covered interest parity”, in Steven N. Durlauf S. N. and Blume L. E. (eds), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, (Second Edition) (hereafter NP). (e-reserve)

Isard P. (2008), “Uncovered interest parity”, NP. (e-reserve)

Sarno L. (2008), “Purchasing power parity”, NP. (e-reserve)

2. Open-economy macroeconomics I : recap and extension

  • The IS/LM/BP (Mundell-Fleming) model  with rate-setting monetary policy and fixed prices
  • Perfect and imperfect international capital mobility
  • Foreign interest rate and demand shocks in the IS/LM/BP model
  • Monetary and fiscal policies under perfect and imperfect capital mobility; fixed and flexible exchange rates
  • The “impossible trinity” and monetary policy independence

References:

Blanchard O. and Sheen J. (2013), Macroeconomics: Australian Edition, Pearson Australia:  Frenchs Forest, N.S.W., 4th Edition, pp.116-117. (e-reserve)

Husted S.and Melvin M. (2013), International Economics, Ninth Edition, Pearson: New Jersey, pp. 342-50. (e-reserve)

Aspromourgos T. (1999), “Open-economy IS-LM – with monetary policy conducted via an interest rate instrument”, Economic Papers, Vol.18, No.1, March. (e-reserve)

Serrano F and Summa R. (2015), "Mundell-Fleming without the LM curve: the exogenous interest rate in an open economy", Review of Keynesian Economics, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 248-68.

3. Open-economy macroeconomics II: exchange rate dynamics

  • Flexible prices and traditional orthodox open-economy macroeconomics:  exchange rates governed by money supplies – the monetary model
  • Dynamics of the real exchange rate: the equilibrium model
  • Dynamics of the real exchange rate: a non-orthodox alternative

References:

Taylor M. (1995), “Economics of exchange rates”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 33, No.1, March, pp.21-26. (e-reserve)

Baillie R. T. (2008), “Nominal exchange rates”, NP. (e-reserve)

Martinez-Hernandez F.A.(2017), “The Political Economy of Real Exchange Rate Behaviour: Theory and Empirical Evidence for Developed and Developing Countries, 1960-2010”, Review of Political Economy, (published on-line, Nov. 2017). (e-reserve)

4. Some dissent: the “balance of payments-constrained growth” thesis

  •  A demand-constrained view of economic growth
  •  The balance of payments-constrained growth rate: a simple case
  •  Balance of payments-constrained growth and the interdependence of growth rates
  •  The balance of payments-constrained growth rate: balance of payments equilibrium in terms of a sustainable external debt trajectory

References:

Thirlwall A.P. (1979), “The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences”, Banca Nazionale de Lavoro Quarterly Review, Vol. 32, pp. 45-53. (e‑reserve)

McCombie J.S.L. and Roberts M. (2002), “The role of the balance of payments in economic growth”, in Setterfield M. (ed), The Economics of Demand-led Growth: Challenging the Supply-Side Vision of the Long Run, Edward Elgar: London. (e-reserve)

Barbosa Filho N. (2002), “The Balance-of-payments Constraint: From Balanced Trade to Sustainable Debt”, Center for Economic Policy Analysis (CEPA) Working Paper, January, New School University, New York, NY. (e-reserve)

5. Historical development of the international monetary system I: the gold standard

  •  Limits on exchange rate movements under the gold standard
  •  Adjustment mechanisms under the gold standard: capital flows versus gold flows
  •  Breakdown of the gold-standard: supply of gold or the declining dominance      
    of the UK?

References:

Argy V. (1981), The Postwar International Money Crisis: An Analysis, London: Allen and Unwin, Ch. 1. (e-reserve)

McKinnon R.I. (1993), "The rules of the game: international money in historical perspective”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol.31, No.1, March, pp.1-11. (e-reserve)

Serrano F. (2003), “From Static Gold to the Floating Dollar”, Contributions to Political Economy, Vol. 22, pp. 87-94. (e-reserve)

Two useful short background pieces for this and the next topic are:

De Grauwe P. (1987), “International monetary policy”, in The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, First Edition. London: Macmillan (hereafter NP1), Vol. II, pp. 920-922. (e-reserve)

Black S.W. (1987), “International monetary institutions”, in NP1, Vol. II, pp.917-920. (e-reserve)

6. Historical development of the international monetary system II: Bretton Woods or the “Gold-Dollar Standard”

  •  Intentions in the design of the Bretton Woods system
  •  A buffer-stock adjustment to balance of payments difficulties
  •  The US versus other countries: two sets of rules
  •  Breakdown of the Bretton Woods system: the “Triffin dilemma” or the US shedding its constraints

References:

Bordo M.D. (1992), “The Bretton Woods International Monetary System: An Historical Overview”, NBER Working Paper, No. 4033, Section 3, pp. 14-21; sections 4 and 5.

Serrano (2003), op.cit. pp. 94-98.

Serrano F. (2006), “Power Relations and  American Macroeconomic Policy, from Bretton Woods to the Floating Dollar Standard”, mimeo, pp. 1-18. (e-reserve)

McKinnon R.I. (1993), op.cit., pp.11-26.

Argy V. (1981), op.cit., Ch.’s, 2-6 (book available in Special reserve)

7. Critical issues for the international monetary system I: fixed versus floating exchange rates and the optimal domain of currencies

  • The exchange rate as a policy tool: the seminal analysis of Mundell and McKinnon
  •  Monetary (or currency) unions: pre-conditions
  •  The European Monetary Union as a case study

References:

Mundell R.A. (1961), “A theory of optimal currency areas”, American Economic Review, Vol.51, No.4, September, pp.657-665. (e‑reserve)

McKinnon R.J. (1963), “Optimal currency areas”, American Economic Review, Vol.53, No.4, September, pp.717-725. (e‑reserve)

Cesarano F. (2006), “The equilibrium approach to optimal currency areas”, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Vol. 59, June, pp.193 – 209.

Pivetti M. (2013), “On the Gloomy European Project”, Contributions to Political Economy, Vol. 32, pp. 1 – 10.

De Vivo G. and Barba A. (2013), “Flawed Currency Areas and Viable Currency Areas: External Imbalances and Public Finance in the Time of the Euro”, Contributions to Political Economy, Vol. 32, pp. 73-95.

Cesaratto S. (2015), “Balance of Payments or Monetary Sovereignty: In Search of the EMU’s Original Sin”, International Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 44, No.2, pp.142-56.

Lavoie M. (2015), “The Eurozone Crisis: A Balance-of-Payments Problem or a Crisis Due to a Flawed Monetary Design?”, International Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 44, No.2, pp.157-60.

Rossi S. (2016), “The Euro Must Be Abandoned to Achieve European Monetary Integration”, International Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 45, No.1, pp. 72-84.

8. Critical issues for the international monetary system II: the world economy, global imbalances and the reserve currency

  • The reserve currency: the path of the $US and the US current account
  • Interpretations of the relationship between the US and EDC’s: the Bretton Woods II hypothesis
  • The phenomenon of self-insurance and the EDC’s
  • Global imbalances, growth strategies and the GFC
  • Post-GFC and the BRICs
  • The reserve currency again; part of the solution or part of the problem? Keynes and the clearing union revisited

References:

Hall S. G. and Tavlas G.S.(2013), “The debate about the revived Bretton-Woods regime: a survey and extension of the literature”, Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 27, No. 2, pp.340-63.

Bibow J. (2008), “Insuring against private capital flows: Is it worth the premium? What are the alternatives?”, The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Working Papers, No. 553, December. (e‑reserve)

Palley T.I. (2011), “The rise and fall of export-led growth”, The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Working Paper, No. 675, July. (e‑reserve)

Palley T. I. (2015),"The theory of global imbalances: mainstream economics vs structural Keynesianism", Review of Keynesian Economics, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp.45-62.

Nassif A., Carmem F. and Araujo E. (2016), “The BRIC’s Economic Growth Performance Before and After the International Financial Crisis”, International Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 45, No. 4, pp.294-314.

Siddiqui K. (2016), “Will the Growth of the BRICs Cause a Shift in the Global Balance of Economic Power in the 21st Century?”, International Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 45, No. 4, pp.315-338.

Kregel J. (2010), “An alternative perspective on global imbalances and international reserve currencies”, The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Public Policy Brief, No. 116.

Kregel J. (2015), “Emerging market economies and the Reform of the International Financial Arhcitecture: Back to the Future”, The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Public Policy Brief, No. 139.

De Cecco M. (2012), “Global Imbalances: Past, Present and Future”, Contributions to Political Economy, Vol. 31, pp. 29-50.

Faudot A. (2018), "The US dollar and its payments system: architecture and political implications", Review of Keynesian Economics, Vol. 6, No.1, pp.83-95.

Learning outcomes are what students know, understand and are able to do on completion of a unit of study. They are aligned with the University's graduate qualities and are assessed as part of the curriculum.

At the completion of this unit, you should be able to:

  • LO1. demonstrate openness to new ways of thinking and appreciate the importance of intellectual curiosity and reflection as the foundation for continuous learning
  • LO2. demonstrate a capacity to work independently
  • LO3. critically evaluate underlying theories, concepts, assumptions, limitations and arguments in economics
  • LO4. develop coherent arguments when recommending solutions and critically evaluating theories in economics.

Graduate qualities

The graduate qualities are the qualities and skills that all University of Sydney graduates must demonstrate on successful completion of an award course. As a future Sydney graduate, the set of qualities have been designed to equip you for the contemporary world.

GQ1 Depth of disciplinary expertise

Deep disciplinary expertise is the ability to integrate and rigorously apply knowledge, understanding and skills of a recognised discipline defined by scholarly activity, as well as familiarity with evolving practice of the discipline.

GQ2 Critical thinking and problem solving

Critical thinking and problem solving are the questioning of ideas, evidence and assumptions in order to propose and evaluate hypotheses or alternative arguments before formulating a conclusion or a solution to an identified problem.

GQ3 Oral and written communication

Effective communication, in both oral and written form, is the clear exchange of meaning in a manner that is appropriate to audience and context.

GQ4 Information and digital literacy

Information and digital literacy is the ability to locate, interpret, evaluate, manage, adapt, integrate, create and convey information using appropriate resources, tools and strategies.

GQ5 Inventiveness

Generating novel ideas and solutions.

GQ6 Cultural competence

Cultural Competence is the ability to actively, ethically, respectfully, and successfully engage across and between cultures. In the Australian context, this includes and celebrates Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures, knowledge systems, and a mature understanding of contemporary issues.

GQ7 Interdisciplinary effectiveness

Interdisciplinary effectiveness is the integration and synthesis of multiple viewpoints and practices, working effectively across disciplinary boundaries.

GQ8 Integrated professional, ethical, and personal identity

An integrated professional, ethical and personal identity is understanding the interaction between one’s personal and professional selves in an ethical context.

GQ9 Influence

Engaging others in a process, idea or vision.

Outcome map

Learning outcomes Graduate qualities
GQ1 GQ2 GQ3 GQ4 GQ5 GQ6 GQ7 GQ8 GQ9

This section outlines changes made to this unit following staff and student reviews.

No changes have been made since this unit was last offered.

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