Associate Professor Shelton Peiris
People_

Associate Professor Shelton Peiris

Dr
Phone
9351 5764
Fax
9351 4534
Address
F07 - Carslaw Building
The University of Sydney
Associate Professor Shelton Peiris

Shelton Peiris did his PhD at Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria. After graduation from Monash in 1987, he tutored at Department of Econometrics (Monash University), lectured at the University of Moratuwa and the University of Melbourne before joining what was then the Statistics Department in 1990. He has been here ever since except for visiting appointments at the University of Waterloo (1993), the University of Manitoba (1997), the University of Iowa (1997), Thaksin University (1998), Pennsylvania State University (2002) and University of Malaya (2007, 2010, 2012/2013).

Shelton was the chair of the international program committee for international conference in Colombo, December 2011.

He was a council member and treasurer of the SSAI (Statistical Society of Australia Inc.) NSW branch (2003-2006). He has organised a number of workshops and invited paper sessions in Australia and overseas. He is an elected member of ISI. He has been the Director of Statistics Teaching Program (2005-2006) and from 2011.

He is a Sub Dean (Student Affairs) of the Faculty of Science.

Statistical analysis of stationary and non-stationary time series data, theory and applications of estimating functions, financial time series modelling, saddlepoint and Edgeworth type apporoximations related to time series problems.

Currently, he is interests are in developing methods in Financial Econometrics and for modelling financial time series data, ACD and Log-ACD modelling and volatility modelling. A long term interest in the teaching of statistics/mathematics has also developed into a research interest with particular emphasis on the role of technology in education and learning in statistics. He is a member of the Statistics Research Group.

Associate Editor

  • Journal of Statistical Computation & Simulation (JSCS)
  • Advances of Decision Science (ADS)
  • Sri Lankan Journal of Applied Statistics (SLJAS)

Editorial Advisory Board

  • Sri Lankan Journal of Applied Statistics (SLJAS)

Selected Grants:

  • ARC Linkage Grant - A$295,000 for 2005 - 2007

Project:: Modelling Stock Market Liquidity in Australia and the Asia Pacific Region

CIs: David Allen, Michael McAleer, Shelton Peiris, Felix Chan

  • ARC Bridging Grant -A $30,000 for 2012-2013/2014

Project: Financial Duration Modelling and Forecasting for Risk Management

CIs: Richard Gerlach and Shelton Peiris

  • University of Malaya Research Grant (UMRG)- RM32900 for 2013-2014

Project: Estimation and Statistical Inference for Volatility Models in Finance

CIs: K.H.Ng, S.Peiris, W.S.Leng, K.H.Ng

  • Ministry of Higher education (MOHE) Malaysia - RM46000 for 2013-2015

Project: Monitoring Process Shifts Using Robust Control Charts

CIs: K.H.Ng, N.A.Hamzah, S.Peiris, K.H.Ng

  • University of Malaya research Grant (UMRG) - RM28000 for 2011-2012

Peroject: Estimation and Prediction Problems in GARCH Models with Non-Normal Innovations

CIs: K.H.Ng, Shelton Peiris, Pooi An Hin, Wu Swee Leng

  • University of Malaya Research Grant (UMRG) - RM 28000 for 2012-2013

Project: Estimation and Prediction Problems in GARCH Models with Non-Normal Innovations

CIs: K.H.Ng, Shelton Peiris, Pooin An Hin, Wu Swee Leng

  • MATH1015 - Statistics for Life Science (First Year)
  • MATH1905 - Statistics Advanced (First Year)
  • STAT3011 - Time Series Analysis (Senior Level)
  • STAT3911 - Time Series Analysis (Senior Advanced Level)
  • STAT4 - Advanced Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (Honours Level)

Timetable

  • Estimating functions and applications in stochastic modelling.
  • Second-order least squares method.
  • Generalized fractional processes.
  • State-space modelling and Kalman filtering for time series.
  • Nonlinear time series analysis.
  • Topics in Financial Econometrics
  • Statistical Society of Australia
  • Australian Mathematical Society
  • Institute of Applied Statistics, Sri Lanka
  • 2012: Faculty of Science Teaching Citation for Excellent Teaching
  • 2011: Bronz Medal for Research - University Putra Malaysia (UPM, With M. Shitan)
  • 2007: Bronz Medal for Research - UPM (With M. Shitan)
  • 2007: Bronz Medal for Research - UPM (With M. Shitan)
  • 1983: Monash University Graduate Scholarship
Project titleResearch student
Dealing with Curses of Dimensionality in High-Dimensional Financial Functional Time Series data.Leonard MUSHUNJE

Selected publications

Publications

Books

  • Jajo, N., Peiris, M. (2023). Python and R in Statistics and Data Science. UK: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing.
  • Peiris, M., Chan, J., Jajo, N. (2021). A Quick Reference Guide to Beginners of Statistics and Data Science Using RStudio. Indonesia: CV. Meugah Printindo.
  • Rosner, B., Peiris, M., Chan, J., Marchev, D. (2013). MATH1015: Biostatistics. Sydney: Cengage Learning.

Book Chapters

  • Allen, D., Kalev, P., Peiris, M., Singh, A. (2019). Currency Spillover Effects between the US Dollar and Some Major Currencies and Exchange Rate Forecasts Based on Neural Nets. In Sabri Boubaker, Duc Khuong Nguyen (Eds.), Handbook of Global Financial Markets; Transformations, Dependence, and Risk Spillovers, (pp. 199-220). Singapore: World Scientific Publishing. [More Information]

Journals

  • Dowe, D., Peiris, M., Kim, E. (2025). A Novel ARFIMA-ANN Hybrid Model for Forecasting Time Series - and its Role in Explainable AI. Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, 5(1), 107-127.
  • Gadhi, A., Peiris, M., Allen, D., Hunt, R. (2025). Optimal Time Series Forecasting Through the GARMA Model. Econometrics, 13(1), 3-1-3-23. [More Information]
  • Allen, D., Mushunje, L., Peiris, M. (2024). GANs and synthetic financial data: calculating VaR*. Applied Economics. [More Information]

Conferences

  • Allen, D., Mushunje, L., Peiris, M. (2023). GANs through the looking glass: How real is the fake financial data created by Generative Adversarial Neural Nets? The 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2023), Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc (MSSANZ).
  • Rosadi, D., Arisanty, D., Andriyani, W., Peiris, M., Agustina, D., Dowe, D., Fang, Z. (2021). Improving Machine Learning Prediction of Peatlands Fire Occurrence for Unbalanced Data Using SMOTE Approach. 2021 International Conference on Data Science, Artificial Intelligence, and Business Analytics, DATABIA 2021, Piscataway, New Jersey: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. [More Information]
  • Dissanayake, G., Peiris, M., Proietti, T. (2014). Estimation of Generalized Fractionally Differenced Processes with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors. ITISE 2014 International Work Conference on Time Series Analysis, Granada: Copicentro Granada S L.

2025

  • Dowe, D., Peiris, M., Kim, E. (2025). A Novel ARFIMA-ANN Hybrid Model for Forecasting Time Series - and its Role in Explainable AI. Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, 5(1), 107-127.
  • Gadhi, A., Peiris, M., Allen, D., Hunt, R. (2025). Optimal Time Series Forecasting Through the GARMA Model. Econometrics, 13(1), 3-1-3-23. [More Information]

2024

  • Allen, D., Mushunje, L., Peiris, M. (2024). GANs and synthetic financial data: calculating VaR*. Applied Economics. [More Information]
  • Hunt, R., Peiris, M., Weber, N. (2024). Seasonal generalized AR models. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 53(3), 1065-1080. [More Information]

2023

  • Hunt, R., Peiris, M., Weber, N. (2023). Bayesian estimation of Gegenbauer processes. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 93(9), 1357-1377. [More Information]
  • Leong, X., Jajo, N., Peiris, M., Khadra, M. (2023). Forecasting Elective Surgery Demand Using ARIMA-Machine Learning Hybrid Model. European Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, 2(3), 1-7. [More Information]
  • Allen, D., Mushunje, L., Peiris, M. (2023). GANs through the looking glass: How real is the fake financial data created by Generative Adversarial Neural Nets? The 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2023), Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc (MSSANZ).

2022

  • Alhuntushi, N., Jajo, N., Peiris, M., Khadra, M., Mallows, J. (2022). A New Look at Patient Waiting Time in an Australian Emergency Department using Simulation. International Journal of Statistics and Systems, 17(1), 1-18.
  • Zhou, J., Ng, K., Ng, K., Peiris, M., Koh, Y. (2022). Asymmetric Control Limits for Weighted-Variance Mean Control Chart with Different Scale Estimators under Weibull Distributed Process. Mathematics, 10(22), Article 4380-1-Article 4380-15. [More Information]
  • Hunt, R., Peiris, M., Weber, N. (2022). Estimation methods for stationary Gegenbauer processes. Statistical Papers, 63(6), 1707-1741. [More Information]

2021

  • Hunt, R., Peiris, S., Weber, N. (2021). A General Frequency Domain Estimation Method for Gegenbauer Processes. Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 13(2), 119-144. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Chan, J., Jajo, N. (2021). A Quick Reference Guide to Beginners of Statistics and Data Science Using RStudio. Indonesia: CV. Meugah Printindo.
  • Jajo, N., Peiris, M. (2021). A Study on Efficient Modelling in Higher Education Academic Workforce Using Simulation. European Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 2(6), 7-14. [More Information]

2020

  • Asai, M., Peiris, M., McAleer, M., Allen, D. (2020). Cointegrated Dynamics for a Generalized Long Memory Process: Application to Interest Rates. Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 12(1), Article 20180024 - 1-Article 20180024 - 18. [More Information]
  • Leong, X., Jajo, N., Peiris, S. (2020). Discrete Simulation on Elective Surgery Wait Line Using Arena Simulation Software. International Journal of Modeling and Optimization, 10(2), 47-51. [More Information]
  • Phillip, A., Chan, J., Peiris, M. (2020). On generalized bivariate student-t Gegenbauer long memory stochastic volatility models with leverage: Bayesian forecasting of cryptocurrencies with a focus on Bitcoin. Econometrics and Statistics, 16, 69-90. [More Information]

2019

  • Allen, D., Kalev, P., Peiris, M., Singh, A. (2019). Currency Spillover Effects between the US Dollar and Some Major Currencies and Exchange Rate Forecasts Based on Neural Nets. In Sabri Boubaker, Duc Khuong Nguyen (Eds.), Handbook of Global Financial Markets; Transformations, Dependence, and Risk Spillovers, (pp. 199-220). Singapore: World Scientific Publishing. [More Information]
  • Peiris, S., Swartz, T. (2019). Developments and Applications of Biostatistical Time Series: A Review. Annals of Biostatistics & Biometric Applications, 3(5), 1-4. [More Information]
  • Chan, J., Ng, K., Nitithumbundit, T., Peiris, M. (2019). Efficient estimation of financial risk by regressing the quantiles of parametric distributions: An application to CARR models. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 23(2), 1-22. [More Information]

2018

  • Phillip, A., Chan, J., Peiris, M. (2018). A new look at Cryptocurrencies. Economics Letters, 163, 6-9. [More Information]
  • Wu, H., Peiris, M. (2018). An introduction to vector Gegenbauer processes with long memory. Stat, 7(1), 1-20. [More Information]
  • Phillip, A., Chan, J., Peiris, M. (2018). Bayesian estimation of Gegenbauer long memory processes with stochastic volatility: methods and applications. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 22(3), 1-29. [More Information]

2017

  • Ng, K., Peiris, M., Chan, J., Allen, D., Ng, K. (2017). Efficient modelling and forecasting with range based volatility models and its application. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 42, 448-460. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Asai, M., McAleer, M. (2017). Estimating and Forecasting with Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 10(4), 1-16. [More Information]

2016

  • Gerlach, R., Peiris, M., Lin, E. (2016). Bayesian estimation and inference for log-ACD models. Computational Statistics, 31(1), 25-48. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Asai, M. (2016). Generalized Fractional Processes with Long Memory and Time Dependent Volatility Revisited. Econometrics, 4(3), 1-21. [More Information]
  • Allen, D., McAleer, M., Peiris, M., Singh, A. (2016). Nonlinear Time Series and Neural-Network Models of Exchange Rates between the US Dollar and Major Currencies. Risks, 4(7), 1-14. [More Information]

2015

  • Ong, S., Biswas, A., Peiris, M., Low, Y. (2015). Count Distribution for Generalized Weibull Duration with Applications. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 44(19), 4203-4216. [More Information]
  • Ng, K., Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A., Ng, K. (2015). Modelling the risk or price durations in financial markets: quadratic estimating functions and applications. Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research, 49(1), 223-237.

2014

  • Ng, K., Peiris, M., Gerlach, R. (2014). Estimation and forecasting with logarithmic autoregressive conditional duration models: A comparative study with an application. Expert Systems with Applications, 41(7), 3323-3332. [More Information]
  • Dissanayake, G., Peiris, M., Proietti, T. (2014). Estimation of Generalized Fractionally Differenced Processes with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors. ITISE 2014 International Work Conference on Time Series Analysis, Granada: Copicentro Granada S L.
  • Rosadi, D., Peiris, M. (2014). Second-order least-squares estimation for regression models with autocorrelated errors. Computational Statistics, 29(5), 931-943. [More Information]

2013

  • Shitan, M., Peiris, M. (2013). Approximate Asymptotic Variance-Covariance Matrix for the Whittle Estimators of GAR(1) Parameters. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 42(5), 756-770. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M. (2013). Efficient Estimation of Regression Models with Heteroscedastic Errors. Mathematical Scientist, 38, 124-128.
  • Allen, D., Ng, K., Peiris, M. (2013). Estimating and simulating Weibull models of risk or price durations: An application to ACD models. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 25, 214-225. [More Information]

2012

  • Pillai, T., Shitan, M., Peiris, M. (2012). Some Properties of the Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average (GARMA (1, 1; 1, 2)) Model. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 41(4), 699-716. [More Information]

2011

  • Abdullah, N., Mohammed, I., Peiris, M., Azizan, A. (2011). A New Iterative Procedure for Estimation of RCA Parameters Based on Estimating Functions. Applied Mathematical Sciences, 5(4), 193-202.
  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A., Appadoo, S. (2011). Doubly stochastic models with GARCH innovations. Applied Mathematics Letters, 24(11), 1768-1773. [More Information]
  • Ng, K., Peiris, M., Lai, S., Tiew, C. (2011). Efficient Estimation of Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) Models using Estimating Functions (EF). The International Statistics Conference 2011: Statistical Concepts and Methods for the Modern World, Colombo, Sri Lanka: Institute of Applied Statistics, Sri Lanka.

2009

  • Shitan, M., Peiris, M. (2009). A Note on the properties of generalised separable spatial autoregressive process. Journal of Probability and Statistics, 2009, 847830-1-847830-11. [More Information]
  • Allen, D., Lazarov, Z., McAleer, M., Peiris, M. (2009). Comparison of Alternative ACD Models via density and interval forecasts: Evidence from the Australian Stock Market. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 79(8), 2535-2555. [More Information]
  • Pathmanathan, N., Ng, K., Peiris, M. (2009). On Estimation of Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) Models Based on Different Error Distributions. Sri Lankan Journal of Applied Statistics, 10, 251-269.

2008

  • Thavaneswaran, A., Peiris, M., Singh, J. (2008). Derivation of Kurtosis and option price formulae for popular volatility models with applications in finance. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 37(11), 1799-1814.
  • Allen, D., Chan, F., McAleer, M., Peiris, M. (2008). Finite sample properties of the QMLE for the Log-ACD model: Application to Australian stocks. Journal of Econometrics, 147(1), 163-185. [More Information]
  • Shitan, M., Peiris, M. (2008). Generalized autoregressive (GAR) model: A comparison of maximum likelihood and whittle estimation procedures using a simulation study. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 37(3), 560-570. [More Information]

2007

  • Peiris, M., Ng, K., Mohamed, I. (2007). A review of recent developments of financial time series: ACD modelling using the estimating function approach. Sri Lankan Journal of Applied Statistics, 8(1), 1-17.
  • Bertram, W., Peiris, M. (2007). An example of a classification problem applied to Australian equity data. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 51(8), 3627-3630. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A. (2007). An introduction to volatility models with indices. Applied Mathematics Letters, 20(2), 177-182. [More Information]

2006

  • Perera, D., Peiris, M., Robinson, J., Weber, N. (2006). Saddlepoint approximation methods for testing of serial correlation in panel time series data. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 76(11), 1001-1015. [More Information]

2005

  • Allen, D., Peiris, M., Yang, J. (2005). An examination of the role of time and its impact on price revision. Australian Journal of Management, 30(2), 283-301.
  • Thavaneswaran, A., Appadoo, S., Peiris, M. (2005). Forecasting volatility. Statistics and Probability Letters, 75(1), 1-10. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M. (2005). Generalised Autoregressive Models with Conditional Heteroscedasticity: An Application to Financial Time Series Modelling. The 2004 Workshop on Research Methods: Statistics and Finance, Wollongong: University of Wollongong.

2004

  • Peiris, M., Rao, C. (2004). A Note On Testing For Serial Correlation In Large Number Of Small Samples Using Tail Probability Approximations. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 33(8), 1767-1777. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A. (2004). A Note On The Filtering For Some Time Series Models. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 25(3), 397-407. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Rao, C. (2004). An Application Of Edgeworth Expansion On Testing For Serial Correlation In Large Number Of Small Samples. The International Sri Lankan Statistical Conference: Visions of Futuristic Methodologies, Australia: RMIT.

2003

  • Ainkaran, P., Peiris, M., Mellor, R. (2003). A note on the analysis of short AR(1) type time series models with replicated observations. Workshop on Advanced Research Methods, Australia: University of Western Sydney.
  • Perera, D., Peiris, M., Weber, N. (2003). A note on the distribution of serial correlation in large numbers of small samples. Advanced workshop on research methods, : National University of Singapore.
  • Thavaneswaran, A., Peiris, M. (2003). Generalized smoothed estimating functions for nonlinear time series. Statistics and Probability Letters, 65(1), 51-56. [More Information]

2002

  • Peiris, M., Singh, N., Yadavalli, V. (2002). A note on the modelling and analysis of vector Arma processes with nonstationary innovations. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 36(11-13), 1409-1424. [More Information]

2001

  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A. (2001). Inference for some time series models with random coefficients and infinite variance innovations. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 33, 843-849. [More Information]
  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A. (2001). Multivariate stable ARMA processes with time dependent coefficients. Metrika: international journal for theoretical and applied statistics, 54, 131-138.
  • Peiris, M., Thavaneswaran, A. (2001). On the properties of some nonstationary arma processes with infinite variance. International Journal Of Modelling And Simulation, 21, No. 4, 301-304.